Pac-12 College Football Friday Night Picks: Washington Huskies at Oregon State Beavers

Washington at Oregon State

Time: 9:30 PM CST, Friday

Spread: ORES -10

Total: 65

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Oregon State Beavers are 4-4 and though in second place in the Pac-12, it trails leading Oregon by 3.5 games in the standings with its 3-2 conference mark. The Beavers have won its last tow over California and Arizona, and it closes the season with games against Arizona State, Wash State, and No. 7 Oregon. The Beavers are 10-point favorites this week over visiting Washington at 9:30 PM (CST) Friday night on FS1.

OR ST

Oregon State won big over Arizona last week, 56-38. Jake Luton had a nearly flawless passing game throwing 20 of 26 for 328 yards and three touchdowns. The Beavers rushed for another 244 yards on 42 carries, also scoring five touchdowns via the rush. Artavis Pierce had 15 carries for a team-best 114 yards and a TD, while Jermar Jefferson had 22 carries for 105 yards and three TDs. Tyjon Lindsey added the other touchdown and 42 yards, as well. Oregon State wide receiver Isaiah Hodgins has been tremendous this year. In the victory, he caught seven passes for 150 yards and two touchdowns, including a long-catch of 39 yards.

Noah Togiai added five more catches for 69 yards and the other receiving touchdown. Oregon State does a good job of balancing its pass and rush offenses, with its pass offense ranking No. 45 nationally and the rush accounting for a No. 59 ranking. It scores 33.6 points per game (no. 40) while holding opponents to 32.4. With such an outstanding offense, it is just .500 due to the suffering the defense has gone through.

Although it was good against Cal, it won in spite of it last week, and in the last loss to No. 15 Utah three weeks ago the defense gave up 52 points (while the Beavers managed to score just seven of its own). it is the recipe for mediocrity perhaps, but that is a step up for this program which may end up making a rare Bowl appearance if it can close its 2019 strong.

The season finale against a ranked Oregon team is probably a given loss, so wins over this week and the next two, however improbable, are what is probably required to notch a Bowl appearance.

WASH

The Washington Huskies is 5-4 on the season and in fourth place in the Pac-12. It is just 2-4 in conference play.

Washington ranks No. 40 nationally in passing yardage with 257.3 per game? but its rush attack trails behind at No 74 and 158.8 yards per game. Even so, the Huskies averaged 34.9 points per game, which is more than enough given the strength of its defense (allows just 22.8 per game).

The Huskies have ridden the arm of Jacob Eason to a very successful offense. Eason has thrown for 2,297 yards this season with a 65.3 percent completion ratio, 20 touchdowns, and just five interceptions and 12 sacks (just 1.25 per game).

Eason is a terrible rusher, with 12 carries for -36 yards, but the rest of his backfield is rather good.

The top-three ball-carriers all average better than 5.1 yards-per-carry, paced by Sean McGrew’s 6.5 per-carry on his 52 attempts. Though McGrew has just one touchdown, Salvon Ahmed and Richard Newton have seven and six, respectively. The Huskies have also got over 1,100 yards from its top-two receivers Aaron Fuller and Tight end Hunter Bryant. Bryant has 36 catches and three touchdowns, while Fuller has scored six. The Huskies have 15 rushing touchdowns and 20 receiving touchdowns this season.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Washington

  • Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Huskies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Friday games.
  • Huskies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Huskies are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
  • Huskies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Huskies are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 conference games.

Oregon State

  • Beavers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
  • Beavers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Beavers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • Beavers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games in November.
  • Beavers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
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