Oklahoma City Thunder At Golden State Warriors: Rebounding and Assist Prop Bets

kevin durant-thunder-2015-2We have already looked at the scoring prop bets, and now it is time to take our attention to the rebounding and assist prop bets in this Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals.

Betting odds come courtesy of Bovada.

Andrew Bogut: Over/Under 6.5 rebounds

Andrew Bogut is playing just 17 minutes per game in the postseason. He is also playing hurt in this game, which makes it all the more probable that his production dips some. It may even be that Festus Ezeli gets the call for a bigger chunk of minutes to avoid further damage to Bogut’s strained adductor muscle. Even if he is healthy, he is averaging just seven rebounds per game which would make this a precarious wager at full strength. UNDER.

Draymond Green: Over/Under 10 rebounds

OVER. Draymond Green has been a bit inconsistent on the glass. Over his past five games he has had 11 rebounds or more in three of them, but sandwiched between were back-to-back nine-board games against the Portland Trail Blazers. Andrew Bogut may have his minutes reduced, if he plays at all, which makes it more likely Dray hits the glass to grab 10 or more. The ‘over’ is the best bet here.

Enes Kanter: Over/Under 7.5 rebounds

Enes Kanter has had over seven rebounds three times in the past five games. He had 13 boards in the Game 5 win over the San Antonio Spurs, and he is certainly capable of grabbing at least eight in this game. The Thunder will need him to, given that Durant is going to have to focus so heavily on his scoring production against the Warriors. Kanter will be needed offensively too, which should increase his overall activity level. OVER.

Kevin Durant: Over/Under 8.5 rebounds

UNDER. Kevin Durant is averaging just 6.4 rebounds per game over his past five games, and he only had one game with more than 8.5 rebounds in the final five games against the San Antonio Spurs. Durant needs to rebound at the clip set by Vegas Oddsmakers, but the UNDER seems far more favorable just given his recent production alone.

Russell Westbrook: Over/Under 7.5 rebounds

Russell Westbrook has averaged 7.4 rebounds per game over his past five games, and he had just one double-digit board game in those five. That said, with a quicker pace in this game, the table is set for Westbrook achieving a pretty common (for him) triple-double. OVER.

Draymond Green: Over/Under 7.5 assists

Draymond Green is more likely to take on his high-post role within the offense with Curry back aboard. That makes it likely that he is able to get at least seven assists, but can he get eight? He has averaged 6.5 assists per game over his past four games, and he had just 11 over the final two games of the Portland series. We will go with the UNDER on this line, fully expecting ‘seven’ to be his total.

Stephen Curry: Over/Under 7 assists

Stephen Curry averaged 9.5 assists per game in his two games against the Blazers. He may take less of a facilitating role in this series, but it will also likely be a quicker pace than what took shape in the Portland series. Curry likely comes up with 8-10 assists in this, and we like the OVER.

Kevin Durant: Over/Under 4.5 assists

PUSH. Kevin Durant is averaging 3.6 assists per game over the past five games, but he had four or more assists in three of those games. This is a mark that is accurately set enough to avoid bothering with it. Durant may get five assists per game, but he has done that just once in his past five, and it is quite possible he looks mostly for his own offense in this one. The Warriors are going to make him work for it, and Durant likely will take over 20 field goal attempts. He is still shooting at a 43.5 percent clip in the postseason, but during the regular season that was a mark above 50 percent.

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Posted by on May 16 2016. Filed under Headlines, NBA. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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