NFL Week 7 Picks: Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Sunday, 10/23/11, 4:15 PM EST, TV:  FOX
Opening Point Spread:  Green Bay -9.5
Current Betting Line:  Green Bay -9
Opening Total:  47.5
Current Total:  46.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

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Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers has tallied incredible numbers indoors during his career

Green Bay has won eight straight regular-season games and extend it out to 12 consecutive if you includes last year’s playoffs.  The Packers have gone on to win the NFL title in all six previous seasons when starting a season 6-0.  “We’ve put good numbers up, but we have to get better,” commented Packers head coach Mike McCarthy.  “You have to be running on all cylinders and we’re not there, yet.”  The team is off to its second 3-0 start on the road in the past 39 seasons.  The Packers have also tallied a 12-5 record in the game heading into the bye since the 1994 campaign.  Green Bay is 15-8 ATS on the road and the ‘under’ is 15-8 in those contests.

The Packers have enjoyed tremendous success in tallying a 22-9 record in regular-season games against NFC North opponents under head coach Mike McCarthy, a mark that includes a 10-6 mark on the road.  Quarterback Aaron Rodgers continues to be the main story, as the offense ranks No. 1 in the league in averaging 32.8 points per game.  He has had well-known success inside of domes, coming in with a 112.0 passer rating in 14 career indoor starts, throwing for 30 touchdowns and just six interceptions.

Minnesota is 1-5 on the season and has made a chance under center in naming Christian Ponder the start Sunday.  He was the team’s first-round selection from a year ago, completing 9 of 17 passes for 99 yards against the Chicago Bears last week.  “For a guy who gets limited reps in practice, it seems he had a good grasp,” commented head coach Leslie Frazier.  Minnesota is 4-11 ATS as a underdog of 7.5 to 10 points, while the total is 8-8 over/under in those contests.

The Vikings will be looking to gain revenge in this series, losing both meetings a year ago, including a 31-3 loss as three-point home underdogs on Nov. 21, 2010.  Minnesota is coming off a 39-10 defeat to the Chicago Bears as one-point road underdogs a week ago.  Defensively, Jared Allen will need to come up big off the edge for any chance of an upset, as the defensive end has tallied 10 sacks in seven career games against the Packers.  Running back Adrian Peterson is the key offensively, rushing for a combined 203 yards and a touchdown in the two meetings a year ago.

Bettors will likely back the Packers due to their 11-3-1 ATS mark versus teams with a losing record, while the Vikings are 0-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

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