NFL Week 7 Picks ATS: Oakland Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars

Blake Bortles and the 2-3 Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves pitted at EVEN odds against Oakland in Week 7.
Blake Bortles and the 2-3 Jacksonville Jaguars find themselves pitted at EVEN odds against Oakland in Week 7.

Oakland at Jacksonville
Time: NOON (CT)
Spread: PICK
Total: 47.5

Betting odds c/o 5dimes

The Oakland Raiders had their three-game win streak snapped by the Kansas City Chiefs last week, falling 26-10 at home to fall to 4-2 on the season. Oakland will now travel to face the Jacksonville Jaguars in a game with EVEN odds and an over/under set at 47.5 by NFL oddsmakers at 5dimes. The game will air at Noon (CT) on CBS.

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The Raider defense was not good last week in the loss to the Chiefs. Kansas City had 223 passing yards and 183 rushing yards while the Raiders generated just 285 total yards. Derek Carr threw 22 of 34 for 225 yards and a TD, but he was picked off once and sacked twice.

DeAndre Washington picked up 49 rushing yards on 10 carries, but Oakland rushed just 17 times in the game, and Derek Carr was largely ineffective with just eight yards on three attempts. Amari Cooper had a big game with 10 catches on 13 targeted passes for 129 yards, but no other Raider receivers had more than 29 yards and Andre Holmes (two catches for 11 yards) had the only TD.

Oakland has the No. 9 pass offense in the league at 263.8 yards per game and ranks No. 13 in team rushing (110.0 yards per game). The team ranks No. 11 in scoring at 25.3 points per game, but it is giving up 27.2 points per game to opponents which ranks it No. 24 in the NFL. The Raiders have not held an opponent under 20 since its week 3 win over Tennessee, and the Raiders have allowed 30 points on two occasions already.

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Oakland will get Latavious Murray back who has missed the last two games with turf toe.

Jacksonville is now 2-3 after rallying to win its last two games over Indianapolis and Chicago. The Jaguars won 17-16 over Chicago last week as Blake Bortles threw for 271 yards and hit Arrelious Benn for a 51-yard TD late in the fourth quarter to give the Jags the go-ahead score. Bortles was 20 of 33 passing in the game, but he did throw one interception and was sacked twice for a loss of eight total yards.

The Jags were not good rushing the football, getting just 54 yards on 20 carries (2.7 yards per) while Chris Ivory had 32 yards on his 11 carries with a TD, but no runs longer than nine yards.

Bortles has thrown 39 of 66 (59.1) percent in the Jags’ two wins, but that has not told the story. In Jacksonville’s four losses, he has thrown more interceptions (six) than TDs (five) and has a passer rating of just 75.0. As Bortles go, so go the Jags, but the last two weeks he has been over 200 yards, and the first two weeks of the season he threw for over 600 yards in losses to Green Bay and San Diego.

Bortles main three targets have been Alex Hurns, Allen Robinson and Marqise Lee have caught for over 800 yards between them, and Robinson has three of the team’s eight total receiving TDs. The Jaguars are averaging 11.2 yards per pass attempt while limiting opponents to 9.5 yards per attempt. The rushing can stand to improve, as Jacksonville generates just 3.3 yards per attempt, but Bortles really should put it on the ground more since he is leading the team with 5.0 yards per carry on his 18 attempts, including a long run of 24 yards and a TD.

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