NFL Week 10 Picks Against the Spread: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Kansas City Chiefs at Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday, 11/12/12, 8:30 PM EST, TV:  ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  Pittsburgh -12.5
Current Betting Line:  Pittsburgh -12
Opening Total:  43.5
Current Total:  42
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

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The Pittsburgh Steelers have never lost a Monday Night Football game at Heinz Field

Kansas City is coming off a 31-13 setback to the San Diego Chargers on Thursday Night Football last week, which served as the team’s fifth consecutive loss.  Chiefs head coach Romeo Crennel decided to remove himself from handling the team’s defensive coordinator responsibilities, with Gary Gibbs taking over that unit.  The team has been outscored by 107 points on the season, leading to a disappointing 1-7 record heading into the second half of the 2012 NFL regular season.  Kansas City is 3-6 ATS in November the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 5-4 in that situation.

The Chiefs will need a big performance out of running back Jamaal Charles, who currently ranks fourth in the AFC with 79.3 rushing yards per game.  Through eight games, Kansas City is leading the conference in averaging 149.9 rushing yards per game, which is just ahead of the New England Patriots.  It’s important to note that the franchise is 22-16 all-time when playing on Monday Night Football.

Pittsburgh is playing its best football of the season in winning three consecutive games, including a 24-20 victory over the New York Giants as 3.5-point road underdogs, while going UNDER the total in each of those contests.  The Steelers out-gained the Giants by a 167-yard margin, which has the entire locker room feeling confident heading into this conference affair.  “We’re finishing the game now,” stated Steelers linebacker LaMarr Woodley.  Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 6-1 in that situation.

The Steelers have won their last 14 home games when playing in this prime-time event, including all six inside Heinz Field.  Pittsburgh is 18-9 all-time against Kansas City during the regular season, including an 8-4 mark when playing in the Steel City.  Defensively, the team has limited opponents to under 100 yards rushing in its last seven games, while opposing signal-callers have failed to have a 75.0 or better passer rating in four consecutive contests.

Sports bettors will likely play the total in this AFC tilt, with the Steelers going OVER the number in 20 of their last 28 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.

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