NFL Thursday Night Football Betting Picks: Washington Redskins at New York Giants

Washington Redskins at New York Giants
MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, New Jersey
Thursday, September 24, 2015, 8:25 pm Eastern, TV: CBS, NFL Network
Opening Line: New York -4
Current Line: New York -3 (-120)
Opening Total: 45
Current Total: 44
Opening Money Line: Giants -200 / Redskins +170
Current Money Line: Giants -175 / Redskins +155

The Giants look to avoid an 0-3 start as they host the rival Redskins Thursday.

The Giants look to avoid an 0-3 start as they host the rival Redskins Thursday.

Every team in the NFC East has some serious issues. The first place Dallas Cowboys are 2-0 but will be without quarterback Tony Romo and receiver Dez Bryant indefinitely. The Washington Redskins are 1-1 but have injury concerns of their own. The Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants are both 0-2. The Eagles are struggling on offense. The Giants became the first team in NFL history to blow fourth quarter leads of 10 points in their first two games of the season.

The Giants host the Redskins Thursday night, with both teams needing a win. These two rivals have been playing since 1932. New York leads the overall series 97-65-4. The Giants have won 14 of the last 18 meetings against the Redskins including the last four games. New York won both meetings last year 45-14 in Landover (also on a Thursday night) and 24-13 in East Rutherford.

Washington is coached by Jay Gruden. The Redskins lost at home to the Miami Dolphins 17-10 and beat the St. Louis Rams 24-10 last week also at home. Washington jumped out to a 17-0 halftime lead, but St. Louis pulled to within 17-10 in the third quarter. The Redskins held the Rams to 213 total yards and 11 first downs. The Redskins were 3 point underdogs against the Rams and the total was 41. Washington is 1-1 ATS and the total is 0-2 this season.

New York is coached by Tom Coughlin. The Giants lost at the Cowboys 27-26 in week one and 24-20 last week at home to the Atlanta Falcons. The Giants led that game 20-10 going into the fourth quarter. However, Atlanta would score 14 fourth quarter points to come back to win the game. New York was a 2 point favorite and the total was 49.5. New York is 1-1 ATS and the total is 1-1 this season.

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Washington is outscoring teams 17-14. this season. The Redskins are #29 in scoring but #3 in points allowed. Washington is averaging 361 total yards per game on offense, including 190 passing and 172 rushing yards. The Redskins are #28 in passing but lead the league in rushing. Washington is allowing 235 yards per game on defense, including 164 passing and 71 rushing yards. The Redskins are #4 or better in all three categories. Washington is 14/31 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 7/26. The Redskins have forced four sacks and allowed three this season. Washington is -2 in turnovers.

Quarterback Kirk Cousins has completed 75.9% of his passes for 399 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and has been sacked 3 times. He took over as the starter in the pre-season for former first round pick Robert Griffin III after Griffin suffered a concussion. Griffin has been medically cleared but Gruden has zero confidence in him.

Alfred Morris has 43 carries for 180 yards and 2 catches for 13 yards. Rookie Matt Jones has 25 carries for 151 yards with 2 touchdowns, along with 3 catches for 23 yards. He had a huge game against the Rams with 123 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

Tight end Jordan Reed has 13 catches for 145 yards and a touchdown. Pierre Garcon has 12 catches for 97 yards and a touchdown. No other receiver has more than 4 catches. Receiver DeSean Jackson is out until mid-October with a hamstring injury. Tight ends Niles Paul and Logan Paulsen are both on injured reserve.  Six defensive players are questionable or out for the Redskins.

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New York is being outscored 26-23 this season. The Giants average 339 yards per game on offense including 241 passing and 98 rushing yards. New York is allowing 419 yards per game on defense including 351 passing and 68 rushing yards. The Giants are #31 in total defense, last against the pass but #3 in rush defense. New York is 16/32 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 17/28. The Giants have 2 sacks and have allowed 3 this season. New York is +2 in turnovers.

Quarterback Eli Manning has completed 61.8% of his passes for 485 yards with 2 touchdowns, and has 3 carries for 31 yards. Running back Rashad Jennings has 22 carries for 64 yards and a touchdown, along with 2 catches for 12 yards. Andre Williams has 12 carries for 57 yards. Shane Vereen has 9 carries for 33 yards, plus 12 catches for 122 yards.

Receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. has 12 catches for 190 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Larry Donnell has 7 catches for 49 yards and a touchdown. Receiver Victor Cruz is out indefinitely with a calf injury. Preston Parker, Daniel Fells and Rueben Randle will also get some targets. Fells is probable with a foot injury. Tight end Jerome Cunningham is out with a knee injury. Ten defensive players are listed on the injury report, including stars linebacker Jon Beason (knee), defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul (fingers) and cornerback Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (concussion). Beason is probable but the other two are out.

Washington is 4-0 ATS after allowing 250 yards or less, 4-1 after allowing 90 rushing yards or less, 4-9-1 in week three, 8-18 against NFC teams, 15-37-3 against teams with losing records, 2-5-1 in Thursday games, 4-10 in road games, 2-5-1 after allowing less than 15 points, 4-10-3 after allowing less than 150 passing yards, 4-11 overall, 2-8 after a straight up win, and after gaining more than 350 total yards, 1-4 on fieldturf, 1-5 against teams with losing home records, and 0-4 after a cover. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in this series recently.

New York is 5-0 ATS after allowing more than 350 total yards, 6-1 in Thursday games, 3-7-1 in September, 2-6 after a straight up loss, and 1-6 after allowing more than 250 passing yards. The under is 6-1 in this series recently and 13-3 in New Jersey. The Giants are 7-3-1 ATS at home against the Redskins recently. The Giants have covered the last four game overall in the series.

While New York has dominated this series recently, both teams are battling injuries to key players. New York struggles on defense, and Washington struggles in the passing game. Washington certainly has the better defense. Both of these teams could easily be 2-0 but are not. I think the Giants find a way to win a close low scoring game at home.

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Posted by on Sep 24 2015. Filed under Headlines, NFL. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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