Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sunday, December 10, 2017, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: NBC
Heinz Field – Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
Opening Line: Pittsburgh -7 (-105)
Current Line: Pittsburgh -5
Opening Total: 41
Current Total: 43
Opening Money Line: Steelers -325 / Ravens +265
Current Money Line: Steelers -250 / Ravens +210
Two of the NFL’s most bitter rivals meet Sunday night as the Pittsburgh Steelers host the Baltimore Ravens. Pittsburgh is 10-2 and tied with the New England Patriots for the best record in the AFC. Baltimore is 7-5 and currently holds the last playoff spot in the AFC. The Steelers will clinch the AFC North with a win against the Ravens Sunday as they would have a four game lead with three to play.
Pittsburgh leads the series 26-21 against Baltimore. The Steelers have won two straight games in the series, after a four game losing streak to the Ravens. The Steelers won in Baltimore 26-9 October 1 earlier this season.
Baltimore is coached by John Harbaugh. The Ravens have road wins at the Cincinnati Bengals 20-0, Oakland Raiders 30-17 and Green Bay Packers 23-0, and home wins over the Cleveland Browns 24-10, Miami Dolphins 40-0, Houston Texans 23-16 and Detroit Lions 44-20 last week. The Ravens have won four of the last five games including three straight. Baltimore lost to the Jacksonville Jaguars 44-7 in London. The Ravens have home losses to the Pittsburgh Steelers 26-9 and Chicago Bears 27-24 in overtime, plus road losses to the Minnesota Vikings 24-16 and Tennessee Titans 23-20. Baltimore was a 2.5 point favorite against Detroit and the total was 43. The Ravens are 6-5-1 ATS and the total is 7-5 this season.
Pittsburgh is coached by Mike Tomlin. The Steelers have a road loss at the Chicago Bears 23-17 in overtime, and a home loss against the Jacksonville Jaguars 30-9. Pittsburgh has road wins over the Cleveland Browns 21-18, Baltimore Ravens 26-9, Kansas City Chiefs 19-13, Detroit Lions 20-15, Indianapolis Colts 20-17 and Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 last Monday, plus home wins over the Minnesota Vikings 26-9, Bengals 29-14 Tennessee Titans 40-17 and Green Bay Packers 31-28. The Steelers have won seven straight games. Pittsburgh was a 4.5 point favorite against Cincinnati and the total was 42.5. The Steelers are 6-6 ATS and the total is 4-8 this season.
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Baltimore is outscoring teams 23-17 this season. Baltimore is #13 in scoring and #3 in points allowed. The Ravens average 289 total yards including 173 passing and 116 rushing yards. Baltimore is #31 in passing and #30 in total offense, but the rush offense is #12. On defense, Baltimore is allowing 311 yards per game including 199 passing and 113 rushing yards. The Ravens are in the top seven in total and pass defense. The Ravens are 62/178 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 59/174. Baltimore has forced 33 sacks and allowed 23 this season. Baltimore is +14 in turnovers. The Ravens have two special teams and five defensive touchdowns.
Quarterback Joe Flacco has completed 65.1% of his passes for 2,144 yards with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and has been sacked 23 times. He has 17 carries for 53 yards. Ryan Mallett has thrown for 56 yards with two touchdowns.
Running back Alex Collins has 144 carries for 705 yards and four touchdowns, plus 11 catches for 75 yards. He is probable with migraines. Javorius Allen has 121 carries for 422 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 42 catches for 204 yards and 2 touchdowns. Terrance West has 39 carries for 138 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 2 catches. Danny Woodhead is out until at least week 11 with a hamstring injury. Kenneth Dixon is out for the season with a knee injury.
Receiver Mike Wallace has 34 catches for 487 yards and 3 touchdowns. Receiver Jeremy Maclin has 36 catches for 391 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is probable with a back injury. Tight end Benjamin Watson has 45 catches for 347 yards and 3 touchdowns. Nick Boyle has 21 catches for 160 yards. Tight end Maxx Williams is out with an ankle injury. Tight ends Darren Waller and Crockett Gilmore are both out for the season. Eight defensive players and four offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.
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Pittsburgh is outscoring teams 23-18 this season. Pittsburgh is #7 in points allowed. The Steelers average 368 yards per game on offense including 265 passing and 103 rushing yards. The Steelers are #7 in total and #4 in passing offense. Pittsburgh allows 295 total yards per game including 196 passing yards and 98 rushing yards. The Steelers are #8 or better in all three categories. Pittsburgh is 63/159 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 60/159. The Steelers have forced 40 sacks and allowed 16 this season. Pittsburgh is -1 in turnovers. The Steelers have a defensive touchdown and have allowed two this season.
Quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has completed 62.8% of his passes for 3,238 yards with 22 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. He has been sacked 16 times and has 33 rushing yards.
Running back Le’Veon Bell has 270 carries for 1,057 yards with 5 touchdowns, along with 66 catches for 502 yards and a touchdown. James Conner has 27 carries for 125 yards.
Receiver Antonio Brown has 88 catches for 1,296 yards and 9 touchdowns. He is probable with a toe injury. JuJu Smith-Schuster has 37 catches for 585 yards and 5 touchdowns. He is suspended for an illeagl hit in last week’s game against the Bengals. Martavis Bryant has 31 catches for 386 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 4 carries for 13 rushing yards. Tight end Jesse James has 29 catches for 259 yards and 3 touchdowns. Five defensive players are listed on the injury report.
The Ravens are 4-1-1 ATS against the Steelers recently and were underdogs in each of those contests. The under is 4-1-1 in this series. The over is 12-5-2 in this series in Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh will be without Smith-Schuster and linebacker Ryan Shazier who was carted off the field last week after a scary looking hit. He had spinal surgery this week. If this were any other team, Pittsburgh might overlook them with a showdown against the Patriots looming next week. However, it is the archrival Ravens. I like the Steelers to win at home.