Washington Redskins at New Orleans Saints
Monday, October 8, 2018 – 8:15 pm Eastern TV: ESPN
Mercedes-Benz Superdome- New Orleans, Louisiana
Opening Line: New Orleans -6 1/2
Current Line: New Orleans -6
Opening Total: 51
Current Total: 52
Opening Money Line: Saints -271 / Redskins +223
Current Money Line: Saints -260 / Redskins +220
Two first place teams in their respective divisions meet Monday night as the 3-1 New Orleans Saints host the 2-1 Washington Redskins. New Orleans is tied for the lead in the NFC South with the Carolina Panthers. Washington leads the NFC East. The Redskins lead the series against the Saints 17-9. New Orleans won the last meeting 34-31 in overtime last season in New Orleans.
Besides the early potential playoff implications, this could be a memorable game for another reason. New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees needs just over 200 passing yards to overtake Peyton Manning as the NFL’s all-time leader in passing yards.
Washington is coached by Jay Gruden. The Redskins have a road win over the Arizona Cardinals 24-6 and a home win over the Green Bay Packers 31-17 two weeks ago, plus a home loss to the Indianapolis Colts 21-9. Washington was on the bye last week. The Redskins were 2.5 point underdogs against the Packers and the total was 45.5. Washington is 2-1 ATS and the total is 1-2 this season.
New Orleans is coached by Sean Payton. The Saints have a home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 48-40. New Orleans has won three straight games. The Saints have a home win over the Cleveland Browns 21-18, plus road wins over the Atlanta Falcons 43-37 in overtime and New York Giants 33-18 last week. New Orleans was a 3.5 point favorite at New York and the total was 51.5. The Saints are 2-2 ATS and the total is 2-2 this season.
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Washington is outscoring teams 21-15 this season. The Redskins are #1 in points allowed and #23 in scoring. Washington averages 383 yards per game on offense including 245 passing and 138 rushing yards. The Redskins are #3 in rushing offense. On defense, the Redskins allow 278 total yards per game including 187 passing and 91 rushing yards. Washington leads the league in total offense an in pass defense, and is #6 in rush defense. Washington is 18/42 on third and fourth conversions and opponents are 16/41. Washington has forced 7 sacks and allowed 6 as well. The Redskins are +2 in turnovers.
Quarterback Alex Smith has completed 68.8% of his passes for 767 yards with 4 touchdowns and an interception, along with 19 carries for 48 yards. He has been sacked 6 times. Colt McCoy is the backup.
Running back Adrian Peterson has 56 carries for 236 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 5 catches for 100 yards. He is probable with an ankle injury. Chris Thompson has 15 carries for 83 yards, plus 20 catches for 155 yards and a touchdown. Samaje Perineal is questionable with an ankle injury. Rob Kelley was supposed to be the starter but is out until at least week 11 with a toe injury.
Tight end Jordan Reed has 14 catches for 168 yards and a touchdown. Receiver Paul Richardson has 9 catches for 131 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a shoulder injury. Jamison Crowder has 9 catches for 79 yards and a touchdown, plus 3 carries for 35 yards. Josh Doctson has 5 catches for 48 yards. He is questionable with a heel injury. Four defensive players and six offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.
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New Orleans is outscoring teams 34-30 this season. The Saints are #3 in scoring but #30 in scoring. The Saints average 418 total yards per game on offense including 314 passing and 105 rushing yards per game. New Orleans is #4 in total offense and #6 in passing. New Orleans allows 391 total yards per game on defense including 311 passing and 80 rushing. The Saints are #3 in rush defense and number #30 in pass defense. The Saints are 22/51 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 22/48. New Orleans has forced 9 sacks and allowed 6 sacks this season. The Saints are even in turnovers.
Quarterback Drew Brees has completed 75.8% of his passes for 1,295 yards with 8 touchdowns and no interceptions, and has 2 rushing touchdowns. He has been sacked 6 times. Teddy Bridgewater is the backup.
Running back Alvin Kamara has 56 carries for 575 yards and 5 touchdowns, plus 35 catches for 336 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a knee injury. Back-up quarterback Taysom Hill has 7 carries for 67 yards. Mike Gillislee has 16 carries for 43 yards. Mark Ingram returns from a four game suspension.
Receiver Michael Thomas has 42 catches for 445 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tight end Benjamin Watson has 13 catches for 157 yards and no touchdowns. Ted Ginn, Jr. has 12catches for 135 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 26 rushing yards. He is out with a knee injury. Five defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report.
The Redskins have covered the last six games against the Saints including four straight in New Orleans. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in this series recently. The last five games in this series have gone over the total.
New Orleans struggles on defense but has one of the best offenses in football. The Redskins statistically have the number one defense but they haven’t play an offense as explosive as the Saints. I like the Saints to win a close shootout at home.