NFL Monday Night Football Betting Picks: Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs

Washington Redskins at Kansas City Chiefs
Monday, October 2, 2017, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, Missouri
Opening Line: Kansas City -9 (+110)
Current Line: Kansas City -7
Opening Total: 49
Current Total: 49 1/2
Opening Money Line: Chiefs -270 / Redskins +230
Current Money Line: Chiefs -300 / Raiders +250

The Chiefs look to remain undefeated as they host the Redskins Monday.

The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-0 and the last undefeated team left in the NFL. They take on the 2-1 Washington Redskins Monday night in Kansas City. The Chiefs are in first place in the AFC West, a half game up on the 3-1 Denver Broncos. The Redskins look to remain tied for first in the NFC East with the 3-1 Philadelphia Eagles.

Kansas City leads the series 8-1 against Washington. The Chiefs have six straight wins over the Redskins since the only Washington win in the series in 1983. Kansas City won the last meeting 45-10 in Washington in 2013.

Washington is coached by Jay Gruden. The Redskins have a home loss to the Eagles 30-17. Washington has a road win over the Los Angeles Rams 27-20 and last week over the Oakland Raiders 27-10. The Redskins were 3.5 point home underdogs against the Raiders and the total was 53.5. Washington is 2-1 ATS and the total is 1-2 this season.

Kansas City is coached by Andy Reid and has road wins over the New England Patriots 42-27 and last week over the Los Angeles Chargers 24-10, plus a home win over the Philadelphia Eagles 27-20. The Chiefs were 3 point favorites against the Chargers and the total was 47.5. Kansas City is 3-0 ATS and the total is 2-1 this season.

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Washington is outscoring teams 24-20 this season. The Redskins average 374 yards per game on offense including 237 passing and 136 rushing yards per game. Washington is #5 in total offense and #6 in rushing. On defense, Washington allows 276 yards per game including 214 passing and 62 rushing yards. Washington is #4 in total defense, and #2 in rush defense.  The Redskins are 15/40 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 15/40. Washington has forced 8 sacks and allowed 7 this season. The Redskins are +1 in turnovers.

Quarterback Kirk Cousins has completed 68% of his passes for 784 yards with 5 touchdowns and an interception, plus he has 39 rushing yards on 8 carries.

Running back Chris Thompson has 14 carries for 119 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 13 catches for 231 yards and 2 touchdowns. Samaje Perine has 40 carries for 116 yards, plus he has 2 catches for 6 yards. He is probable with a hand injury.  Robert Kelley has 22 carries for 108 yards. He is questionable with a rib injury.

Receiver Jamison Crowder has 13 catches for 113 yards. He is probable with a hamstring injury. Terelle Pryor, Sr. has 10 catches for 116 yards. Ryan Grant has 8 catches for 103 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Jordan Reed has 11 catches for 84 yards. He is probable with a shoulder injury. Tight end Vernon Davis has 6 catches for 71 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a groin injury. Nine defensive players are listed on the injury report.

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Kansas City is outscoring teams 31-19 this season. Kansas City is #3 in scoring and #7 in points allowed.  The Chiefs average 397 total yards per game on offense including 235 passing and 162 rushing yards per game. KC is in the top 5 in total and rushing offense. Kansas City allows 369 total yards per game on defense including 257 passing and 112 rushing. The Chiefs are #27 in yards allowed. The Chiefs are 13/36 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 18/45. Kansas City  has forced 11 sacks and allowed 12 sacks last season. The Chiefs are +4 in turnovers.

Quarterback Alex Smith has completed 77.4% of his passes for 774 yards with 7 touchdowns and no interceptions, and has 11 carries for 33 yards. Smith is the starter without question but he had to hold off hard charging rookie Patrick Mahomes for the job. Mahomes is the quarterback of the future

Rookie running back Kareem Hunt has 47 carries for 401 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 9 catches for 137 yards and 2 touchdowns. Charcandrick West has a rushing touchdown along with 20 rushing yards on three carries, and also has 3 catches for 18 yards. Spencer Ware was supposed to be the starter but tore his ACL in the preseason.

Receiver Tyreek Hill has 16 catches for 253 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 6 carries for 24 yards. Tight end Travis Kelce has 14 catches for 144 yards and a touchdown.   Receiver Chris Conley has 6 catches for 98 yards. Albert Wilson has 10 catches for 77 yards and a touchdown. Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report along with four offensive linemen. The Chiefs waived kicker Cairo Santos this week. Rookie Harrison Butker takes over as the new kicker.

Washington is 4-0 ATS against teams with winning home records, 6-0 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards, 7-1 against teams with winning records, 6-1 in week four, 10-2 in road games, 8-2 after gaining more than 350 total yards, 4-1 in October, 5-2 after passing for 250 yards or more, 12-5 overall, 9-4 on grass, 6-13-1 after allowing less than 250 total yards, 3-8-1 after allowing less than 15 points, 1-4 after a cover, 1-5 after allowing less than 150 passing yards, and 1-6 in Monday games.

Kansas City is 7-1 ATS after rushing for 150 yards or more, 5-1 overall, 4-1 after a straight up win, after a cover and on grass, 6-2 against teams with winning records, 7-3 against teams with winning road records, 4-9 at home, 6-15 after passing for less than 150 yards, and 2-7 after allowing less than 15 points. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in this series recently. The Chiefs have covered the last five games against the Redskins.

Kansas City might be the best team in football. This should be a high scoring game, but I like the Chiefs to remain undefeated at home.

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