NFL Divisional Round Picks: Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots
Saturday, 1/11/14, 8:15 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: New England -7
Current Betting Line: New England -7
Opening Total: 52.5
Current Total: 51
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Indianapolis continues its postseason journey, as it overcame a 28-point second-half deficit to post a 45-44 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs as 1.5-point home underdogs last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in four contests. The Colts recorded a playoff franchise-record 536 net yards, with quarterback Andrew Luck throwing for 443 yards and four touchdowns. Luck’s main target is wide receiver T.Y. Hilton, who finished with 13 catches and 224 receiving yards last time out. Indianapolis is 1-3 SUATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 7 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 3-1 in that situation.
The Colts have had 73 players take at least one snap in a game this season, which leads the NFL and can’t be forgotten when making your pro football picks in the divisional round. Indianapolis recorded the fewest turnovers and penalties in the league this season—the first time that has happened in the league since 2002. The home team has captured all three postseason meetings between these two AFC rivals.
New England will look to become the first team since the Philadelphia Eagles (2001-04) to go to at least three straight Conference Championships, as it comes off a first-round bye after securing the No. 2 seed in the AFC playoffs. The Patriots finished the regular season ranked third in the league in scoring 444 points, which is important to consider when looking over the pro football odds page. Quarterback Tom Brady threw for 4,343 yards despite not having tight end Rob Gronkowski at his disposal for most of the season. New England is 3-0 SUATS as home favorites of 3.5 to 7 points this year.
The Patriots have compiled a 10-6 SU all-time record in divisional playoff games, including a 7-2 mark at home—wins in five of six tries at Gillette Stadium. New England may choose to run the football more than normal in this matchup, considering backs LeGarrette Blount and Steven Ridley combined for 1,545 yards and 14 scores. Brady’s top target was wide receiver Julian Edelman, who posted career highs of 105 catches and 1,056 receiving yards.
Sports bettors will likely play the total, as the UNDER is 13-6-1 in the Patriots’ last 20 playoff home games.
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