NFL Betting Predictions: Atlanta Falcons at Tennessee Titans

Steven Jackson-falcons-2014Falcons-Titans
Time: NOON CT
Spread: ATL -6.5
Total: 47

Betting odds c/o Bovada

Marcus Mariota had a nice start to 2015, but it all came down in the second quarter last week when he left the game with four turnovers and a sprained left MCL. Mariota was unable to practice Wed and Thurs but on Friday he was officially ruled out for the game. Zach Mettenberger will start in his place but the hosting Titans find themselves 6.5 point underdogs to the Atlanta Falcons in NFL action Sunday afternoon.

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The Titans placed C Brian Schwenke on IR and rookie Andy Gallik is expected to start. The line has allowed the fourth most sacks in the NFL (20) and the ground game is good for just 3.99 yards per carry. Over the last three it has been even worse, good for just 3.40 yards per attempt.

The Titans are playing its fourth straight at home but lost the previous three. It has lost eight straight overall in Nashville and are just 1-10 under HC Whisenhunt at home.

Atlanta is 5-1 on the season and won both its road games prior to its 31-21 loss at New Orleans on Thurs. It was its first defeat under first-year HC Dan Quinn. Atlanta was down by 17 entering the fourth but Devonta Freeman ran for 25 yard TD and caught a 13 yard TD pass to make it a close game. The Falcons are trailing the undefeated Panthers in the AFC South.

Freeman has been the Falcons key player in ranking No. 4 in the NFL in offense, averaging over 400 yards per game. He has 10 total TDs on the year and has rushed for 100 yards or more in three of the past four games, and he had 100 on just 13 carries against New Orleans.

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Julio Jones had 34 catches for 440 yards and four TDs in his first three games. But over the past three he has caught just 15 for 198 yards. He has battled hamstring and toe injuries, but the Falcons need his production to rise and his health bill clean. He was a full participant in practice, and the extra rest since Thurs. should work to his advantage.

The teams last met in 2011 when Rex Ryan threw for 316 yards and a TD as the Falcons won 23-17.

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ATS TRENDS
Atlanta
• Falcons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
• Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 7.
• Falcons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Falcons are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October.
Tennessee
• Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 7.
• Titans are 17-36-4 ATS in their last 57 games overall.
• Titans are 15-36-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• Titans are 7-18-3 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Titans are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Titans are 6-17-3 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. loss.
• Titans are 7-20-2 ATS in their last 29 home games.
• Titans are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Titans are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
• Titans are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games on grass.
• Titans are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Titans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Titans are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Titans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
• Titans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Titans are 0-6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

OU TRENDS
Atlanta
• Under is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
• Under is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Falcons last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
• Under is 6-1-1 in Falcons last 8 games in October.
• Under is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• Under is 6-2-1 in Falcons last 9 games overall.
• Under is 6-2-1 in Falcons last 9 road games.
• Under is 6-2-1 in Falcons last 9 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 5-2 in Falcons last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 47-19-4 in Falcons last 70 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 7-3 in Falcons last 10 games in Week 7.
• Under is 15-7-1 in Falcons last 23 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Tennessee
• Under is 4-0 in Titans last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
• Over is 6-1 in Titans last 7 games in Week 7.
• Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games overall.
• Over is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games on grass.
• Over is 7-2-1 in Titans last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Over is 12-4 in Titans last 16 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
• Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• Over is 11-5 in Titans last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.

HEAD TO HEAD
• Falcons are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
• Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

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Posted by on Oct 24 2015. Filed under Headlines, NFL. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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