NFL Betting NFC East Showdown: Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles
Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
Sunday, November 17, 2013, 1:00 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Opening Line: Philadelphia -3 (-120)
Current Line: Philadelphia -4 1/2
Opening Total: 51 1/2
Current Total: 52 1/2
Opening Money Line: Eagles -180 / Redskins +155
Current Money Line: Eagles -210 / Redskins +175

The eagles are 4.5 point favorites at home against NFC east rival the Redskins. Philadelphia is trying to snap a 10 game home losing streak.

The eagles are 4.5 point favorites at home against NFC east rival the Redskins. Philadelphia is trying to snap a 10 game home losing streak.

The Philadelphia Eagles are 5-5 and tied with the idle Dallas Cowboys for first place in the NFC East. The Eagles will take on the 3-6 Washington Redskins Sunday and Philadelphia can take over first place by a half a game. The Eagles will also try to end one of the strangest streaks in sports. Philadelphia has lost 10 straight home games dating back to last season, including 0-4 this year. The Eagles start a 3 game game home stand with this game against the Redskins.

Philadelphia leads the series against Washington 16-9 since 2001. The Eagles beat the Redskins 33-27 in Landover on the opening Monday Night Football game of the season. Philadelphia was up 33-7 in that game in the third quarter but held off a furious Redskin rally to secure the win.

Washington is coached by Mike Shanahan. The three wins for the Redskins came at the Oakland Raiders 24-14 and at home against the Chicago Bears 45-41 and  against the San Diego Chargers 30-24 in overtime. The Redskins have home losses to the Philadelphia Eagles 33-27 and the Detroit Lions 27-20, along with road losses at the Green Bay Packers 38-20, the Dallas Cowboys 31-16, the Denver Broncos 45-21 and last Thursday at the Minnesota Vikings 34-27. Washington is 3-6 ATS and the total is 6-3 this season. The Redskins were 1 point favorites against Minnesota last week and the total was 48.

Washington took a 24-14 halftime lead at Minnesota last week. The Redksins kicked a field goal on their first drive of the third quarter to go up 27-14. Washington would not score again, as Minnesota closed the game on a 20-0 run to win 34-27. It was a disheartening loss for the Redksins against the previously one-win Vikings. Washington had 433 total yards including 242 passing and 191 rushing yards. Minnesota had 307 total yards including 216 passing yards. The Redskins had 8 penalties for 63 yards and Minnesota had the only turnover of the game.

Washington is being outscored 32-26 this season. The Redskins are #9 in scoring and #31 in points allowed. Washington is averaging 410.4 yards per game including 259.2 passing and 151.2 rushing yards. Washington is in the top ten in the league in all three categories. On defense, the Redskins are giving up 388.6 yards per game including 274.8 passing and 113.8 rushing yards. Washington is 18th or worse in all three categories. The Redskins are -1 in turnovers. Washington is 61/134 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 47/114. The Redskins have forced 22 sacks and allowed 18. Washington has 5 defensive touchdowns and has allowed 5 defensive/special teams touchdowns. The Redskins average 57 penalty yards per game and opponents average 49.

Washington quarterback Robert Griffin III has shown flashes of his brilliant play from his rookie season recently after tearing his ACL in last year’s playoff loss to the Seattle Seahawks. He has completed 60.8% of his passes for 2,450 yards with 12 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, along with 56 carries for 301 yards. He has been sacked 1 times this season. RGIII tweaked the injured knee in the second half against the Broncos and was replaced by Kirk Cousins, who threw for 48 yards and 2 picks in his only action of the season. Griffin took ever snap in the last two games.

Running back Alfred Morris has 159 carries for 825 yards and 5 touchdowns, along with 3 catches. Roy Helu has 40 carries, 171 yards and 4 touchdowns, along with 17 catches for 174 yards. Darrel Young has 3 rushing touchdowns and might be a new short yardage weapon. Receiver Pierre Garcon has 61 catches, 803 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tight end Jordan Reed has 44 catches, 487 yards and 3 touchdowns. Leonard Hankerson has 29 catches, 370 yards and 3 touchdowns. Santana Moss has 21 catches, 249 yards and a touchdown. Josh Morgan and Logan Paulsen will also get some targets. Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report for the Redskins.

Philadelphia is coached by Chip Kelly. The Eagles have road wins at the Washington Redskins 33-27, New York Giants 36-21, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-20 Oakland Raiders 49-20 and last week at the Green Bay Packers 27-13. Philadelphia has home losses to the San Diego Chargers 33-30, the Kansas City Chiefs 26-16, Dallas Cowboys 17-3, and against the New York Giants 15-7, along with a road loss at the Denver Broncos 52-20.  Philadelphia is 5-5 ATS and the total is 6-4 this season. The Eagles were 1 point favorites against the Packers and the total was 47.

Green Bay was already without star quarterback Aaron Rodgers who broke his collarbone a couple of weeks ago. Back-up Seneca Wallace started for the Packers but injured his groin in the first quarter. He would not return and Scott Tolzien took over. Tolzien was on the Packers’ practice squad six days earlier. The Eagles would take a 10-3 lead at halftime. The Eagles expanded the lead to to 27-10 by the end of the third. The Packers would kick a field goal early in the fourth to pull within 27-13. Neither team would score again. The Eagles had 415 total yards including 204 rushing yards. The  Packers had 396 total yards including 297 passing yards. Each team had 5 penalties. Tolzien threw two costly interceptions and the Eagles had one turnover.

Philadelphia is outscoring teams 25-24 this season. The Eagles are #12 in scoring and #20 in points allowed in the NFL. Philadelphia is averaging 413.5 yards per game on offense including 260 passing and 153.5 rushing yards. The Eagles are #4 in total offense, #1 in rushing and #9 in passing. On defense, Philadelphia is allowing 417 yards per game including 306.5 passing and 110.5 rushing yards. The Eagles are #31 in total defense and #31 against the pass. The run defense is #14 in the league though. Philadelphia is +2 in turnovers. The Eagles are 56/141 on third and fourth down conversions and  opponents are 63/159. Philadelphia has forced 20 sacks and allowed 27 this season. The Eagles have 2 defensive/special teams touchdowns and have allowed 4 this season. Philadelphia is averaging 57 penalty yards per game and opponents are averaging 67.

The Eagles have used three quarterbacks season, along with the Bills, Browns, Texans, Packers and Vikings. (It is no coincidence that those teams have a combined record of 21-35 this season.) Michael Vick started the season at quarterback but injured his hamstring a few games into the season. Nick Foles started some games , but suffered a concussion in the Dallas game. Vick came back too soon from his hamstring injury, and had to be replaced by Matt Barkley, Barkley also replaced Foles in the Dallas game. Vick is questionable this week and Foles will start. He should even if Vick is healthy because Foles has been red hot this season. Vick has completed 54.6% of his passes for 1,215 yards with 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, along with 34 carries for 308 yards and 2 touchdowns. He has been sacked 15 times this season. Foles has completed 63.2% of his passes for 1,256 yards with 16 touchdowns and no picks, along with 76 rushing yards and a rushing touchdown. He has been sacked 9 times this season. Barkley has thrown for 300 yards with 4 interceptions. He has been sacked 3 times this season.

Running back LeSean McCoy has 193 carries for 932 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 30 catches for 326 yards and a touchdown. Bryce Brown will also get some carries and catches. Chris Polk has a rushing touchdown. Receiver DeSean Jackson has 54 catches for 903 yards and 7 touchdowns. Riley Cooper has 28 catches, 555 yards and 7 touchdowns. Jason Avant has 27 catches for 311 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Brent Celek has 18 catches for 248 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is probable with a hip injury. Zach Ertz has 19 catches for 243 yards and a touchdown. Four defensive players are listed on the injury report for the Eagles.

Washington is 4-0 ATS in Week 11, 12-4 against NFC East teams, 5-2 in November, 3-7 overall, 1-4 in road games, and 1-6 against NFC teams. The road team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 in this series. The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Philly.

Philadelphia is 8-17-1 ATS overall, 6-13-1 after accumulating more than 350 total yards, 3-7 after allowing less than 15 points, 6-15-1 on grass, 3-8 in November, 5-20-1 at home, 1-7-1 after allowing more 350 total yards, and 0-5 against teams with losing road records. The favorite has covered 5 of the last 6 in this series.

Philadelphia has been clicking on offense recently and the defense is playing much better too. They should have enough to beat an inconsistent Redskins team, but I am not sold on either one of these teams. This should be a high scoring game, and I think the Eagles win on a late field goal to break the home losing streak.

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