NCAA Football Week 1 Picks: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. No. 13 Oklahoma State Cowboys
Saturday, 8/31/13, 3:30 PM EST, TV: ABC
Opening Point Spread: Oklahoma State -11
Current Betting Line: Oklahoma State -12.5
Opening Total: 59
Current Total: 60
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Mississippi State is 4-0 in season openers under current head coach Dan Mullen—winning those games by an average of 43.8 points. The Bulldogs haven’t won five consecutive in this situation since winning eight in a row from 1994-2001. It’s important to point out that the program is 11-19 when kicking off a season against an opponent that hails from a BCS conference, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA football picks Saturday afternoon. Mississippi State is 2-7 as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 9-0 in that situation.
The Bulldogs are 11-11-2 against teams that currently comprise the Big 12 Conference, while they’ve gone 14-2 in regular-season non-conference games under Mullen’s direction, including wins in their last 13 games in that situation. Mississippi State will be taking on a ranked opponent for its season opener for just the seventh time in school history—producing a 1-5 record in those contests. Four of the team’s five offensive linemen started all 13 games a season ago.
Oklahoma State is 8-1 in its last nine games versus current members of Southeastern Conference opponents, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA Football odds page. The Cowboys are 25-7 in their last 32 season openers, while they’ve won 24 of their last 27 games against unranked opponents. Under head coach Mike Gundy, the team has racked up a 9-6 record against SEC foes. Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points the last two seasons, with the OVER going 8-0 in those eight opportunities.
The Cowboys are the only team to rank in the top 10 nationally each of the last three years in total offense, scoring offense and passing offense. Oklahoma State ranks second in college football in averaging 46.2 points since 2010—behind only the Oregon Ducks in that category. The program is breaking in two new coordinators in the same season for the first time since 2005, which happened to be Gundy’s first season in Stillwater.
Sports bettors will likely play the total in this affair, as the OVER is 5-0 in the Cowboys last five non-conference games.
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