NCAA Basketball Picks: Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Baylor Bears
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Baylor Bears
Monday, 1/21/12, 5:30 PM EST, TV: ESPN
Opening Point Spread: Baylor -4.5
Current Betting Line: Baylor -4
Opening Total: 132.5
Current Total: 133
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Oklahoma State has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, as it comes off a 79-45 victory over the Texas Tech Red Raiders as 17.5-point home favorites Saturday, while going UNDER the posted total of 136. The Cowboys are 51-18 all-time against the Bears, including a 17-13 mark in Waco. Offensively, the team is led by Markel Brown, who averages 15.2 points per game. Oklahoma State is 7-17 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college basketball odds page.
The Cowboys are limiting their opponents to just 57.4 points per game on 37.3 percent shooting from the floor. Oklahoma City leads the Big 12 Conference and ranks ninth nationally in free-throw percentage at 76.2. The program is the only team in the conference that has three different players ranked among the league’s top 10 and four among the top 20 in scoring. Brown has played four games in this series, averaging 12 points per contest.
Baylor has won four of its last five games, while also capturing seven of its last 11 meetings with Oklahoma State after winning just one of its previous 19. The Bears have compiled a 20-7 record in their last 27 Big 12 home games since the start of the 2010 conference season. It’s important to note that the program has won 12 straight games against the founding members of the Big 12 South Division. Baylor is 3-6 ATS as a favorite this season, with the OVER going 4-3 in that situation.
The Bears have had most of their success offensively inside the paint, averaging 36.9 points per game in that situation. Baylor also has one of the better offensive players in the conference, with Pierre Jackson scoring in double figures in 24 straight games, averaging 18.2 points and 6.2 assists during that streak. The team ranks second in the conference and 33rd nationally with a 46.4 team field goal percentage.
Sports bettors will likely back the Bears due to their 6-0 ATS mark at home in this series, while the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.
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