NCAA Basketball Picks: Oklahoma Sooners vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Oklahoma Sooners at Iowa State Cyclones
Monday, 2/4/13, 7:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPNU
Opening Point Spread:  Iowa State -5.5
Current Betting Line:  Iowa State -6
Opening Total:  141
Current Total:  142
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Oklahoma Sooners are 2-0-2 ATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points this season
The Oklahoma Sooners are 2-0-2 ATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points this season

Oklahoma has split its last six games, as it will attempt to get back on the winning track after suffering a disappointing 52-50 setback to the Kansas State Wildcats as 3.5-point home favorites Saturday, while going UNDER the posted total of 131.  The Sooners will be playing away from Norman for the fourth time in their last six affairs, while they’ve gone 2-0-2 ATS as  road underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points this season.  It’s important to note that the program’s three conference losses have come against ranked opponents, which can’t be ignored when making your NCAA basketball picks Monday night.  Oklahoma has covered the number in four of its last five tries after suffering a straight-up loss.

The Sooners are averaging just 3.9 3-point makers per game, which is quite different than the Cyclones leading the conference in that particular statistic (9.0).  Oklahoma has been outscored by 9.4 points per league contest from beyond the arc, while Iowa State holds an average advantage of 10.5 points in eight conference affairs.  In two series meetings a year ago, the program was outscored by a combined 54 points from the 3-point area, which is something to take into consideration when looking over the college basketball odds page.

Iowa State will try to win consecutive games for the first time since Jan. 12-19, as it comes off a solid 79-71 victory over the Baylor Bears as 4.5-point home favorites Saturday, while going OVER the total for a third consecutive contest.  The Cyclones enter with one of the nation’s best homecourt winning streaks at 19 games, while they’ve also managed to win their last 11 games on this floor versus conference foes.  Iowa State is 3-0 SUATS as home favorites of 3.5 to 6 points during the 2012-13 NCAA basketball season.

The Cyclones are the only team in the conference with an unblemished home record, while they’ve gone 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games at the Hilton Coliseum dating back to last year.  Iowa State leads the Big 12 and ranks 25th nationally in out-rebounding opponents by a plus-6.7 margin, while leading all members in averaging 78.5 points per game.  Senior guard Tyrus McGee is a key player to handicap in this matchup, as he scores 12.3 points per game coming off the bench—hitting 2.6 3-point field goals per game.

Sports bettors will likely play the total in this affair, as the OVER has cashed in the last seven meetings in this series.

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