NBA Western Conference Picks: Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors

Klay Thompson-warriors-2013Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors
Time: 10:35 PM ET, Apr 10, 2014
Spread: GSW -12
Total: 215

Betting odds courtesy of Bovada

The Golden State Warriors hold onto the sixth seed in the Western Conference by virtue of a tiebreaker with the Dallas Mavericks. The Warriors will seek to move a half game ahead with a win tonight over Denver.

NBA oddsmakers at Bovada set the line 12 points in favor of the home team Warriors.

Golden State is 26-13 at Oracle Arena. The Warriors won 130-102 over Utah on Sunday (Apr 6) night, as Klay Thompson scored 33 points and Stephen Curry added 31 points and 16 assists. The Warriors hit 17-of-33 (51.5 percent) from three-point range in the game and 57.8 percent from the field. The Warriors led 66-52 at the break and outscored the Jazz by 14 in the third quarter to enter the fourth with a 26 point lead. Golden State’s defense has vastly improved this season and ranks 8th in the NBA in points allowed (98.8 per game).

And the Warriors are still very potent offensively, ranking 10th in the NBA in scoring (103.6 points per game). Thompson, David Lee and Curry combine to average over 60 points per game for the Warriors, and the team does have other contributors, as it has five other players averaging at least seven points per game.

The Nuggets have been getting good production from Aaron Brooks. Brooks had a big game against his former team the Houston Rockets on Sunday night (Apr 6), as the diminutive playmaker tallied 24 points, 15 assists and eight rebounds. He didn’t fare as well individually in the Nuggets win on Apr 9, scoring 13 points on 5-of-15 shooting, but he’s showing some of the flair he did in 09-10.

Brooks and Randy Foye are proving to be a formidable patchwork backcourt for the Nuggets. Brian Shaw indicated he would like to have Foye, Brooks, Ty Lawson and Nate Robinson all i the fold next year, but that’s a lot of small playmakers to counter a lot of bigger lineups.

DEN Trends: 4-0 ATS in last 4 games vs teams with winning SU records; 5-0 ATS in last 5 overall; UNDER 5-0 in last 5 Thursday games.

GSW Trends: 1-5 ATS in last 6 following ATS win; 2-8-1 ATS in last 11 following SU win of more than 10 points; OVER 8-2 in last 10 vs teams with losing SU records.

Head-to-head: Nuggets 1-7 ATS in last 8 meetings; Nuggets 1-4 ATS in last 5 meetings In Golden State. OVER 20-6 in last 26 meetings in Golden State.

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