NBA Western Conference First Round Game Five: Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder

2016 NBA Playoffs
Western Conference Quarterfinals Game #5
#6 Dallas Mavericks at #3 Oklahoma City Thunder
Thunder Lead Best of Seven Series 3-1
Monday, April 25, 2016, 8:05 pm Eastern, TV: TNT
Chesapeake Energy Arena – Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
Opening Line: Oklahoma City -13 1/2
Current Line: Oklahoma City -14 1/2
Opening Total: 205
Current Total: 205 1/2
Opening Money Line: Thunder -1600 / Mavericks +900
Current Money Line: Thunder -1800 / Mavericks +1150

The Thunder look to eliminate the Mavericks with a win Monday at home.

The Thunder look to eliminate the Mavericks with a win Monday at home.

The series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks has been very chippy and physical. Oklahoma City leads the series 3-1 and can wrap it up with a win Monday night at home. Oklahoma City won game one 108-70 at home, but lost game two 85-84. The Thunder won game three in Dallas 131-102 and game four 119-108 Saturday to take a commanding lead.

Dallas is coached by Rick Carlisle. Dallas went 42-40 and tied for second in the Southwest Division with the Memphis Grizzlies, but both teams were 25 games behind the San Antonio Spurs. The Mavericks won the tiebreaker over the Grizzlies for the #6 seed in the Western Conference. Dallas is 46-39-1 ATS and the total is 41-44-1 this season.

Oklahoma City is coached by Billy Donovan. Oklahoma City is 55-27 and won the Northwest Division by 11 games over the Portland Trail Blazers and were the #3 seed in the West. OKC is 40-45-3 ATS and the total is 40-46 this season.

OKC was an 8.5 point favorite in game four and the total was 203.5. The Thunder jumped out to a 33-18 lead in the first quarter, but would lead 57-48 at halftime. The Thunder would hold on for the 11 point win. With 50 seconds left, Thunder forward Kevin Durant was ejected after being called for a flagrant two foul for hitting Justin Anderson in the head. Durant will not be suspended for game five. Both teams shot over 50% from the field. Enes Kanter scored 28 points off the bench. Russell Westbrook scored 25 points with 15 assists with 5 rebounds. Durant had 19 points. Dirk Nowitzki had 27 points.

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Dallas is being outscored 102.6-102.2 this season. The Mavericks are shooting 44.4% from the field and 34.4% from three point range. Dallas is #20 or worse in both categories. The Mavericks make 79.4% of their free throws and are #3 in the league. Opponents are shooting 45.1% from the field and 34.2% from three point range. Dallas averages 43.1 rebounds per game and opponents average 45.8 per game. Dallas averages 22.1 assists, 12.3 turnovers, 6.8 steals and 3.7 blocks per game.

Forward Dirk Nowitzki averages 18.3 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.8 assists per game. He is probable with a knee injury. Deron Williams averages 14.1 points, 2.9 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game. He is out with a hernia. Forward Chandler Parsons is out for the season with a knee injury. He averaged 13.7 points, 4.7 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game. Wesley Matthews averages 12.5 points, 3.1 rebounds, 1.9 assists and 1 steal per game. J.J. Barea averages 10.9 points, 2.1 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game. He is probable with a groin injury. Raymond Felton, Zaza Pachulia, David Lee and Devin Harris will also get minutes in the rotation. Lee is probable with a heel injury. Jeremy Evans is out for the season with a shoulder injury.

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Oklahoma City is outscoring teams 110-103 this season. The Thunder are #2 in scoring in the league. OKC is shooting 47.6% from the field and 34.9% from three point range. The Thunder are #3 in field goal shooting. Oklahoma City makes 78.2% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 43.8% from the field and 34.2% from three point range. The Thunder are #8 or better in both categories. OKC averages 48.6 rebounds per game and opponents average 40.2 per game. The Thunder are #2 in rebounds allowed and #1 in rebounding. Oklahoma City averages 23 assists, 15.5 turnovers, 7.4 steals and 5.9 blocks per game.

Kevin Durant averages 28.2 points, 8.2 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 steal and 1.2 blocks per game. Russell Westbrook averages 23.5 points, 7.8 rebounds, 10.4 assists and 2 steals per game. He had 18 triple doubles this season to tie Magic Johnson in 1981-82 for the most in the last last 40 seasons. Center Enes Kanter averages 12.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game. Forward Serge Ibaka averages 12.6 points, 6.8 rebounds and 1.9 blocks per game. Dion Waiters averages 9.8 points, 2.6 rebounds, 2 assists and 1 steal per game. Steven Adams, Randy Foye, Cameron Payne, Anthony Morrow, Nick Collison, and Andre Roberson will also get minutes in the rotation. Nazr Mohammed is  questionable.  Forward Mitch McGary is questionable for personal reasons.

Dallas is 4-0 ATS in Monday games, 7-2 against teams with winning home records, 6-2 after allowing 100 points or more and after failing to cover, 9-3 in road games, 13-5 after a  straight up loss of 10 points or more, 16-7 against Northwest teams, 2-8 in first round games, 1-4 overall, against Western Conference teams, and after scoring 100 points or more, and 1-5 against teams with winning records. The over is 7-3overall in this series but the under is 7-2 between the teams in Oklahoma City. The road team is 38-17-2 ATS in this series recently. The Mavericks are 20-8-1 in Oklahoma City recently.

Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in Monday games, 5-1 after allowing 100 points or more, in first round games, overall and against Western Conference teams, 4-1 against Southwest teams, 6-2 after a straight up win by 10 points or more and on one day rest, and 5-2 after scoring 100 points or more. OKC is 4-1 ATS in this series recently, and were favored in each of those contests.

It would be greatly beneficial for the Thunder to wrap up this series tonight as San Antonio awaits in the next round after sweeping Memphis yesterday. The game two debacle aside, OKC simply has too much for Dallas, especially with all of the injuries. The Thunder win in another rout.

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Posted by on Apr 25 2016. Filed under Headlines, NBA. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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