NBA TV Postseason Picks: Utah Jazz at Oklahoma City Thunder- Game 5

The Oklahoma City Thunder need a huge game from point guard Russell Westbrook in Game 5

Utah at Oklahoma City
Time: 8:30 PM CT (NBA TV)
Spread: OKC -3.5
Total: 207.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Utah Jazz lost the series opener against the Oklahoma City Thunder, but since that point, it has been all Utah. The Jazz won Game 2, 3, and 4 by an average of 12.3 points and will look to close out the series on the road in Game 5 at OKC. The Thunder are 3.5-point favorites on its home court, but Jazz rookie Donovan Mitchell has been nearly unstoppable and will look to will the Jazz to a series win on the road.

The over/under is set at 207.5 points, and Games 1 through 4 had point totals of 224, 197, 217, and 209 points— an average of 211.75 points per game. Accordingly based on precedence, we prefer the ‘over.

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Donovan Mitchell has been sensational, as already alluded to. The rookie from Louisville scored 33 points in Game 4 while connecting on 13 of 28 from the field and 3 of 8 from three-point range, while also grabbing seven rebounds, dishing four assists and recording a blocked shot. Mitchell finished +22 for his 39 minutes of court time, and all Jazz starters scored in double-figures. Utah shot 45 percent from the floor and limited itself to just 11 turnovers while recording 21 assists. The Jazz was also plus-3 on the glass, led by Rudy Gobert’s 10 rebounds (four offensive). Utah had 10 offensive rebounds in the game and used a strong third quarter to pull away from OKC, outscoring the Thunder 32-21 in the quarter.

Paul George came through for the Thunder with his most impressive offensive game of the series, but of course, Carmelo Anthony laid a dud in this same game. While George hit 9 of 21 from the floor and all 12 of his free throws, Melo was just 5 of 18 and missed all six of his threes, finishing -18 for his 36 minutes of play with just 11 points and six rebounds.

Russell Westbrook dialed back his shot attempts to feed George, but still scored 23 points and grabbed 14 rebounds, while also dishing three assists. The Thunder had only 10 assists in the game with 14 team turnovers, which is never a good sign— getting more miscues than assists. The Thunder bench also laid collective egg outside of Alex Abrines, as it shot a total of just 7 of 16 from the field. OKC was also just 5 of 26 from three as a team (19 percent), a mark that will not win many games.

Perhaps they get it cooking in their own venue, but three-straight Jazz victories do not bode well for OKC, and we like the Jazz to close it out on the road in something of an upset, led by the outstanding play of “Spida” Mitchell once again, who would be a rookie of the year choice in any other class, but is a tough pick over the outstanding season turned in by Philadelphia’s rookie Ben Simmons.

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ATS TRENDS

Utah
  • Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Jazz are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Jazz are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Jazz are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
  • Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Jazz are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.
Oklahoma City
  • Thunder are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 Wednesday games.
  • Thunder are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Thunder are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Thunder are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Thunder are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 vs. NBA Northwest.
  • Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Thunder are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Thunder are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Thunder are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
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Posted by on Apr 25 2018. Filed under Headlines, NBA. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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