NBA TV Betting Preview: Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets

Stephen Curry is averaging 33.6 points per game, the highest since Kobe's 35 per game.
Stephen Curry is averaging 33.6 points per game, the highest since Kobe’s 35 per game.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets
Time: 7 PM CT (NBA TV)
Spread: GSW -11.5
Total: 213.5

Betting odds c/o Bovada

The Golden State Warriors have a chance to make history by starting its season 15-0. It has only been done twice in NBA history, with the most recent iteration being the World Champion Houston Rockets in 1996.

 

With Stephen Curry on fire and leading the charge, NBA oddsmakers set the Warriors as 11.5 point favorites in tonight’s game against the Denver Nuggets. It will air on NBA TV at 7 PM CST.

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Curry and company were able to defeat the Chicago Bulls 106-94, avenging a team that handed the Warriors its last home loss—last season. The game was close with 18 lead changes and 17 ties , but the Warriors closed the game on a 17-5 run to break that tie.

Curry had 27 points, Harrison Barnes had 20 and Klay Thompson had 15, including a key offensive rebound that keyed the comeback. Andre Iguodala added 12 points off the bench and was +24 for his minutes on the court. Draymond Green had nine points, nine boards and five dimes.

The Denver Nuggets are coming off a 114-107 loss to the Phoenix Suns on Friday night. Brandon Knight caught fire and lit Denver up for 38 points to drop the Nuggets a game below .500 at 6-7. The Nuggets got 46 points from its backcourt of Emmanuel Mudiay and Gary Harris. The tandem combined to shoot 18 of 29 while hitting three three-pointers between them.

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Mudiay, the No. 7 overall pick in the 2015 draft, is averaging 12.5 points, 6.3 assists and 3.9 rebounds per game this year, but his efficiency has been very poor (see: 9.46 PER). He is shooting just 33.3 percent from the floor on 13.8 attempts per game, and he is only 27 percent from three-point range.

It is a learning experience to be sure for the rookie, but he has shown more than enough flashes for Denver to suspect it got its money’s worth on the prospect. Mudiay had been projected to go top-3 in the draft, but began to fall leading the Nuggets to select him and deal incumbent point guard Ty Lawson in an all-out rebuilding effort.

The rebuild has been strangely not-so thus far for Denver, as the Nuggets have proven it can win with a roster most feel was stripped of talent when its leading scorer and assist man was dealt to Houston.

The resurgence of Danilo Gallinari has had a lot to do with it. The forward has averaged 18 points, 5.5 rebounds and 2.5 assists in a team-high 33.9 minutes per game. Gallo has always had the talent but had battled nagging injuries for the better part of two seasons. With him playing to his potential and talent, the Nuggets might not be so bad off.

Power forward Kenneth Faried has been good on the boards with 9.1 rebounds per game to lead the team, while also contributing 12.5 points per game.

Faried is still a hot candidate to be traded, and in the loss to Phoenix he attempted just four field goals despite having seven rebounds for the fourth game straight. Teams may come calling about Faried at the trade deadline, and he has been the subject of trade rumors the past two seasons.  He is battling an ankle issue but is expected to play.

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BETTING TRENDS:

Golden State Under is 6-0-1 in Warriors last 7 Sunday games.
Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Warriors are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
Denver Over is 5-0 in Nuggets last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
Head to Head Warriors are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Denver.
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

 

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