NBA Predictions: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks

Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks
Wednesday, 2/6/13, 7:30 PM EST, TV:  SPSO
Opening Point Spread:  Atlanta -1.5
Current Betting Line:  Memphis -1.5
Opening Total:  180.5
Current Total:  182.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Atlanta Hawks are 9-1 ATS as home underdogs of three points or less over the last two-plus seasons
The Atlanta Hawks are 9-1 ATS as home underdogs of three points or less over the last two-plus seasons

Memphis has alternated wins and losses over its last six games, as it looks to bounce back from a 96-90 setback to the Phoenix Suns as 8.5-point home favorites last night, while going OVER the total for the third time in four contests.  “The disappointing part is they outscored us in the pain 52-40,” stated Grizzlies coach Lionel Hollins after the game.  It’s certainly disappointing with power forward Zach Randolph on the roster, who came into the game with an NBA-high 28 double-doubles.  Memphis is 36-14 ATS when playing on back-to-back days the last two-plus seasons.

The Grizzlies are 12-9 overall away from FedExForum, which includes a 5-1 mark versus Eastern Conference opponents.  Randolph will likely lead the charge in this one, averaging 21.5 points and 12.5 rebounds in eight career visits to Atlanta.  Defensively, the team has held 41 of 47 opponents under 100 points this season, which is the highest such figure in the league.

Atlanta has lost back-to-back games, including a 114-103 defeat to the Indiana Pacers as six-point road underdogs last night, while going OVER the total for the first time in three contests.  “We fouled way too much,” commented Hawks coach Larry Drew about the disparity in free throws Tuesday night.  The Hawks have four probable starters averaging in double figures, with forward Josh Smith leading the way, scoring 16.7 points per game.  He has scored 20-plus points in three of his last six games.  Atlanta is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog of three points or less over the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when making your NBA picks against the spread Wednesday night.

The Hawks are 16-8 at Phillips Arena this season, including an even 4-4 mark versus Western Conference foes.  Atlanta posted a 93-83 win over Memphis as seven-point road underdogs in the first meeting this year, while going UNDER the posted total of 189.  Smith finished that affair with 24 points, with center Al Horford posting a double-double with 19 points and 14 rebounds.

Sports bettors will likely back the Hawks due to their 20-8-1 ATS mark in their last 29 games on zero days rest, while the Grizzlies are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series.

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