NBA Postseason Betting Analysis: Game 5 Philadelphia at Boston – Eastern Conference Playoffs

Philadelphia at Boston – Game 5
Boston Leads 3-1
Time: 7 PM CT (TNT)
Spread: BOS -1
Total: 204.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Philadelphia 76ers are not just lying down to die. Philly won Game 4 in Philadelphia to draw the series to 3-1 but is still attempting to become the first team in NBA history to emerge as victors after losing the first three games of a best-of-seven.

Tonight sees the home team Celtics as 1-point favorites as Ben Simmons attempts to build on an impressive rookie season and send the series back to the City of Brotherly love. The tip-off will be at 7 PM (CT) on TNT, and the betting total for the game is 204.5 points according to NBA oddsmakers at 5dimes.

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Philly has been something of a letdown for most of this series, particularly to yours truly, as a Philly sweep was predicted in the series preview. It is a more talented team than Boston on paper, but games are not played on paper, and Brad Stevens has impressively coached Boston to play a nearly flawless brand of basketball. His masterful play to free up Al Horford for the go-ahead bucket in Game 3 will go down in history, as disastrous as the ending really was for the Sixers in its own right. Confetti fell from the arena early, just to see the Sixers lose in Overtime.

Game 4 brought out the best in several Sixers, though, and if that continues this series may not end tonight. Dario Saric led the way for Philadelphia with 25 points after having some struggles through the first three games. TJ McConnell, also, was a hero in playing 39 minutes and finishing with a +18 mark for his time on the court. McConnell shot 9 of 12 from the field and finished with 19 points, eight boards and five assists— showing that the Sixers can thrive if Ben Simmons is taken away from the 1-spot.

Expect McConnell to continue to factor huge, as his grit and determination were enough to hold Terry Rozier of the Celtics to just 4 of 11 shooting. Boston shot just 41.3 percent in the game and turned the ball over 15 times, while the Sixers were just 40 percent itself, it limited its miscues to only eight.

This game will ultimately come down to a matter of whether Philly can slow Bostons wing players while getting maximum production again from its unsung heroes. Joel Embiid has struggled badly from the field against Horford’s defensive efforts, and the Sixers are going to have to get production aside from Embiid and Simmons to win this series.

That was what made Game 4 a Sixers win, and the formula must be continued. As of the time of issue, 64 percent of bettors on Covers are favoring the Celtics.

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ATS TRENDS

Philadelphia
  • 76ers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.
  • 76ers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win.
  • 76ers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 Wednesday games.
  • 76ers are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games overall.
  • 76ers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • 76ers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • 76ers are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Conference Semifinals games.
Boston
  • Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Celtics are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
  • Celtics are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Conference Semifinals games.
  • Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Wednesday games.
  • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Celtics are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Celtics are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Celtics are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a ATS loss.
  • Celtics are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss.
  • Celtics are 48-22-2 ATS in their last 72 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
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