NBA Playoff Picks: San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors, Game 3

San Antonio Spurs at Golden State Warriors
Friday, 5/10/13, 10:30 PM EST, TV:  ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  San Antonio -1
Current Betting Line:  Golden State -2.5
Opening Total:  203.5
Current Total:  202.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The San Antonio Spurs lost both regular season road games against the Golden State Warriors this season

The San Antonio Spurs lost both regular season road games against the Golden State Warriors this season

San Antonio hits the road after splitting the first two games of this best-of-seven series at the AT&T Center, as it looks to bounce back from a 100-91 setback to Golden State as seven-point home favorites Wednesday, while going UNDER the betting total of 205.  The Spurs dropped both regular-season meetings at Oracle Arena, which can’t be ignored when making your NBA picks against the spread, but they did rest numerous starters in those contests.  San Antonio is 6-6 ATS as road underdogs this season, with the OVER going 7-5 in that situation.

The Spurs were 23-18 overall away from home during the regular season, including a losing 11-15 mark versus Western Conference opponents.  Point guard Tony Parker and forward Tim Duncan are leading the charge offensively during the 2013 NBA playoffs, combining to average 41.5 points per game.  Since Duncan was selected with the first overall pick of the 1997 draft, San Antonio has compiled a dominating 123-78 postseason record.

Golden State is playing confident basketball in this semifinal series, considering it has led in 95 of 106 minutes of action through two games, which is important to consider when looking over the NBA betting lines Friday night.  “We’re in the driver’s seat right now,” commented Warriors guard Klay Thompson.  “We control our own destiny.”  The Warriors have outrebounded the Spurs by a 105-93 margin, while outshooting them 48.4 percent to 41.7 percent.  Golden State is 6-3 SUATS as home favorites of three points or less this season.

The Warriors are being led by Thompson and point guard Stephen Curry on the offensive end, averaging a combined 44.1 points during the postseason.  Golden State is seeking its first series lead in the Western Conference semifinals since 1976, while trying to go 8-1 in its last nine home playoff games.  Rookies have played a big part in this team’s success, as it has granted 122 total starts to first-rounders Harrison Barnes and Festus Ezeli.

Sports bettors will likely back the Spurs due to their 5-2-2 ATS mark in their last nine trips to Northern California.

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