NBA Picks: Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks

Denver Nuggets at Dallas Mavericks
Friday, 4/12/13, 8:30 PM EST, TV:  FSSW
Opening Point Spread:  Denver -1
Current Betting Line:  Denver -3
Opening Total:  207
Current Total:  206.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Mavericks-Blazers series preview

The Dallas Mavericks will not be participating in the 2013 NBA playoffs

Denver has won five games in a row, including a 96-86 victory over the San Antonio Spurs as 3.5-point home favorites Wednesday night, while going UNDER the posted total of 203.  The Nuggets are clinging to the No. 3 seed in the Western Conference, as they sit a game ahead of the Memphis Grizzlies and two ahead of the Los Angeles Clippers.  “That’s the main goal,” commented Nuggets forward Wilson Chandler.  He has entered the starting lineup after the season-ending injury to second-leading scorer Danilo Gallinari.  Denver is 9-10 ATS as road favorites of three point or less the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when making your NBA picks against the spread.

The Nuggets are 18-21 overall when playing away from the Pepsi Center, including an even 13-13 mark versus conference foes.  Denver has gone 7-3 on the road against Dallas the last five regular seasons, but it’s still 8-21 on the road in this series dating back to the 1997-98 campaign.  The team has shown the ability to move past injuries due to its deep roster, as the bench ranks second in the league in averaging 41.2 points per game.

Dallas had its two-game winning streak snapped in a 102-91 setback to the Phoenix Suns as 13.5-point home favorites Wednesday night, while going UNDER the total for the fourth time in five contests.  “We’re going to try to win the next game to get this to .500,” commented Mavericks forward Dirk Nowitzki.  The Mavericks will miss the NBA playoffs for the first time since 2000, which can’t be ignored when looking over the pro basketball odds page Friday night.

The Mavericks are 22-16 overall at the American Airlines Center, including a 12-11 mark versus conference rivals.  Dallas leads the league in receiving 41.4 points per game from its bench, but it has dropped 14 of the last 21 regular-season meetings in this rivalry.  The team is 22-9 this season when holding opponents to under the century mark offensively, but that will be a tough task against a team that averages 105.8 points per game on the season.

Sports bettors will likely back the Nuggets due to the road team being 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series.

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