NBA Picks: Dallas Mavericks vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Dallas Mavericks at Memphis Grizzlies
Wednesday, 2/27/13, 8:00 PM EST, TV:  SPSO
Opening Point Spread:  Memphis -7.5
Current Betting Line:  Memphis -7.5
Opening Total:  190.5
Current Total:  188.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

Memphis Grizzlies PF Zach Randolph is averaging 15.6 points and 12.1 rebounds during the team's seven-game win streak
Memphis Grizzlies PF Zach Randolph is averaging 15.6 points and 12.1 rebounds during the team’s seven-game win streak

Dallas has dropped back-to-back games, including a 95-90 setback to the Milwaukee Bucks as 5.5-point home favorites last night, while going UNDER the total for a second consecutive contest.  “It’s not looking good for sure,” commented Mavericks forward Dirk Nowitzki about the team’s chances to make the 2013 NBA playoffs.  He has certainly upped his performance on the offensive end over the last three games, averaging 25.3 points and 13.3 rebounds in that span.  Dallas is 3-4 ATS as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points this season, with the OVER going 5-2 in that situation.

The Mavericks are 9-19 overall on the road this season, including a 6-11 mark versus Western Conference foes, which can’t be ignored when looking over the NBA betting lines Wednesday night.  It’s important to note that the home team has won the last five meetings in this series, while Dallas has been limited to 81.5 points per game in dropping the last four at FedExForum.

Memphis has won seven games in a row, including a 76-72 victory over the Brooklyn Nets as 2.5-point road favorites Sunday, while going UNDER the total for a third consecutive contest.  “The key was our defense,” stated Grizzlies coach Lionel Hollins.  Offensively, the team hopes that forward Zach Randolph can continue his solid play, as he’s averaged 15.6 points and 12.1 rebounds during the winning streak.  The squad is 22-8 overall at home, including a 12-5 mark versus conference rivals.

The Grizzlies have begun the 2012-13 NBA season 37-18, which is the best start in franchise history.  Memphis has gone 51-21 in regular season games dating back to March 31, 2012, while it is 17-0 when scoring 100 points this season.  On the defensive end, the franchise has held 47 of its 55 opponents under 100 points this season, which is the highest such number in the league.

Sports bettors will likely back the Grizzlies due to the home team covering four of the last five meetings, while the Mavericks are 3-5 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this year.

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