NBA on ESPN Wednesday Night Odds: Golden St. Warriors at Houston Rockets

Golden State at Houston

Time: 8:30 PM CT (ESPN)

Spread: HOU -3.5

Total: 230

Odds c/o 5dimes

GSW

The Golden State Warriors have lost five of its last 10, but it still sits atop the Western Conference standings and is the prohibitive favorite in the West with the return of DeMarcus Cousins to round out its starting lineup with five All-Stars. Golden State leads No. 2 Denver by just one game in the standings.

Cousins returned Jan 18 against the L.A. Clippers and scored 14 points in his debut on 5 of 11 shooting. He is still facing minutes restrictions, but that is expected after tearing an ACL and rehabbing for the better part of 12 months. Cousins eventually should give the Warriors a needed interior presence on both ends of the court. While he has been maligned over his career for his attitude and behavior, perhaps being on a true winning team will bring some sort of Renaissance for the center. Cousins has averaged 21.5 points and 11 rebounds over his 10-year NBA career and is widely regarded as one of the most skilled and best stretch-5s in the business. Adding a weapon like that to Golden State should only transform the Warriors into a more unbeatable team as he rounds into shape.

It certainly should strike a little fear into teams to imagine what this team can do with a healthy roster. Stephen Curry is turning in an MVP caliber season with his 29.3 points, 5.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists per game, and Kevin Durant is still the most efficient scorer in the league. Thompson can get as hot as anyone in the Association, and Draymond Green’s versatility—hopefully— will tie it all together, as he is one of the best high post passers in the league.

HOU TEAM NOTES:

Though the Rockets have struggled this season, the team has won seven of its last 10 overall and still is situated No. 5 in the Western Conference. It has also won its last six to pull within one half-game of OKC in the Western Conference standings.

The team lost Trevor Ariza over the offseason, hoping that replacing him with Carmelo Anthony would solve its problems. It did none of that, and the team has taken many steps back defensively, which ultimately is the reason it has failed to succeed at the rate it did a year ago. Houston is surrendering 111.1 points per game and scoring 113.2 itself, which yields just a 2.1 positive, point differential.

The Rockets must tighten up its defense significantly to rejoin the realm of Western Conference contenders, which many are feeling can still happen.

Clint Capela had been making a strong bid to be an All-Star and it is easy to see why Houston felt comfortable releasing Dwight Howard to clear the way for Capela.

Truth be told, he has a little of young Dwight, in him and his game. Capela averages 17.6 points, 12.9 rebounds and 1.88 blocks per game while posting the second-best PER on the Rockets. He has proven to be the anchor of a defense that greatly needs perimeter improvement, and it is hardly all the fault of Harden as the narrative often goes.

Harden is playing passing lanes well, coming up with 2-plus steals a game, while heading the offensive attack in his usual masterful way. Harden’s averaging 33.9 points and 8.6 assists per game.

ATS TRENDS (c/o COVERS):

Golden State
  • Warriors are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 vs. Western Conference.
  • Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
  • Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.
  • Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
  • Warriors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Southwest.
  • Warriors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
  • Warriors are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
  • Warriors are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
Houston
  • Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Rockets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Rockets are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 Wednesday games.
  • Rockets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win.
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