NBA on ABC Odds: Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs–Game 4

Golden State at San Antonio
Time: 2:30 PM CT (ABC/ESPN)
Spread: GSW -7
Total: 203.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Golden State Warriors have been without two-time MVP Stephen Curry, but as most knew it would not, it has failed to impede the Dubs in its quest for another title. The Warriors lead the best of seven 3-0 and will look to close it out on the road Sunday afternoon in San Antonio.

NBA Oddsmakers favor the Warriors by 7-points, which ultimately still seems soft given that the Warriors have had few, if any problems, with the Spurs over the course of 48-minute games. The Spurs have been able to hold its own in stretches, but ultimately there is too much offensive firepower on Golden State’s roster for the “slow it down” approach to proving effective for much more than a half, or so.

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The Warriors have won every game in this series by double-digits and have an average margin of victory of 16 points through the first three games. Expect nothing to change. Kevin Durant and Shaun Livingston are both hobbling on sprained ankles, but both will be playing in Game 4 as the Warriors look ahead to its upcoming series against the New Orleans Pelicans, who completed its sweep of the Portland Trail Blazers. The Dubs might not have needed Curry’s services to take care of a Kawhi Leonard-less Spurs team, but it will absolutely need a fully healthy roster to battle against a red-hot Pelicans team.

But that is getting ahead of ourselves, if only slightly. San Antonio is still coached by one of the greats in Gregg Popovich, and we did expect one game from this series to go to the Spurs simply because of his mastermind tactics. That might not be the case, but if Tony Parker can play significant minutes and slow the pace down, the Spurs might be able to milk enough out of LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol to steal one game on its home court.

If not, this series will be the sweep many called. It just seemed that Pop was good for a game, but with the way the Warriors are clicking, it has hardly mattered, and the Spurs lack sufficient offensive firepower without Leonard’s 25 to 30 points per game. While the Spurs really are not commenting much on Leonard’s future, one would figure this roster is on the verge of implosion as the Spurs hit the first true rebuild it has had in the past 20 years. It sounds strange to even consider, really.

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ATS TRENDS

Golden State
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Warriors are 26-7 ATS in their last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Warriors are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 vs. NBA Southwest.
  • Warriors are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 Sunday games.
  • Warriors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Warriors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
  • Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Warriors are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win.
  • Warriors are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
San Antonio
  • Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Spurs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Spurs are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games.
  • Spurs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
  • Spurs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Spurs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific.
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Posted by on Apr 21 2018. Filed under Headlines, NBA. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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