NBA League Pass Betting Trends: New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers

New Orleans at Portland
Time: 9:30 PM CT, NBA LP
Spread: POR -2.5
Total: 233.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

NOP

New Orleans has won six of its last 10 overall, but still lingers out of the Western Conference playoff picture three games below .500 on the season. Patience is wearing thin in New Orleans, a team never able to perhaps maximize the immense talents of its superstar, Anthony Davis.

Davis has been fantastically dominant, but while Jrue Holiday has had an outstanding season in his own right, this team seems several pieces shy of having what it takes to contend in the Western Conference. Because of that, a lot of blame has been assigned to Davis, whose eventual future may not be in the Bayou. The former Kentucky Wildcat is averaging 28.9 points, 13.2 rebounds, 4.4 assists, 1.8 steals, and 2.7 blocks per game while posting a PER of 31.3, but outside of Holiday and Randle this team just lacks some of the pieces it needs to compete with the top teams in the West.

Holiday is averaging 20.7 points and Julius Randle adds another 19.8. Nikola Mirotic has battled injuries but ideally completes a solid top-4. Where the Pelicans fall apart mostly is due to its lack of depth. After E’Twaun Moore, the rotation falls off to a number of players with glaring offensive deficiencies, from Elfrid Payton’s sheer lack of shooting to Tim Frazier’s inconsistencies, the Pelicans bench begins to relay the reasons this team cannot manage to sustain the strong play of its starting-5, bolstered, of course, by Davis.

A lot of the blame has fallen on GM Dell Demps and his numerous dubious decisions. While gambling on DeMarcus Cousins may have made enough sense at the time, the Pelicans really could use the player it dealt to obtain Cousins in Buddy Hield. New Orleans needs another premier perimeter threat, shooting, and it needs a “three and D” small forward (like Robert Covington?) in the worst way. Without adding these necessary pieces the Pels can still knock off mediocre teams like tonight’s opponent, but making any meaningful ascent will elude this roster.

POR

Portland has been rolling this season, and it has won seven of its last 10 overall. It currently sits at No. 4 seed in the Western Conference with its 27-19 mark on the year.

Damian Lillard, for his part, has been sensational this season. The All-Star is averaging 26 points, 4.5 rebounds and 6.1 assists per game.

His backcourt sidekick CJ McCollum is rounding into form too, averaging 21.1 points and 3.7 rebounds per game.
The Blazers use its starting center Josuf Nurkic just 27 minutes a game, but he averages 15.2 points and 10.4 rebounds in that time, making the most of it with his high energy play.

The reduction in his time means more for Zach Collins, and the second-year big man has also looked good. Portland has gone more heavily towards its starters as the season has worn on, but it has some good talent waiting in the wings.

Collins is averaging 7.3 points and 0.86 blocks per game in 19 minutes a night. The Blazers have good depth, and its bench is greatly improved with the better play of Evan Turner and Nik Stauskas, who has revived his career in Portland. Stauskas is averaging 6.4 points per game in his 16 minutes a night. The Blazers now seem to have the depth it has lacked in previous seasons, and it is making a great difference evidenced by its No. 2 position in the Western Conference thus far.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

New Orleans
  • Pelicans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Pelicans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
  • Pelicans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference.
  • Pelicans are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.
  • Pelicans are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Pelicans are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
  • Pelicans are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Pelicans are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Pelicans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
Portland
  • Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Trail Blazers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
  • Trail Blazers are 23-9-3 ATS in their last 35 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • Trail Blazers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Trail Blazers are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games.
  • Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
  • Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Southwest.
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