Houston Rockets at Denver Nuggets
Saturday, 4/6/13, 9:00 PM EST, TV: ALT2
Opening Point Spread: Denver -5
Current Betting Line: Denver -6
Opening Total: 215
Current Total: 212
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Houston has won four games in a row, including an impressive 116-98 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers as 5.5-point road favorites Friday night, while going OVER the posted total of 210. “We did a pretty good job of staying aggressive and taking the ball to the basket,” commented Rockets guard James Harden. He leads the team in averaging 26.0 points per game, which is important to consider when looking over the pro basketball odds page. Houston is 9-8 ATS as road underdogs of six points or less this season, with the OVER going 10-8 in that situation.
The Rockets are 16-22 overall when playing away from the Toyota Center, including a 7-16 mark when taking on Western Conference rivals. Houston is a season-best 10 games over .500 during the 2012-13 NBA season, while it leads the entire league in averaging 106.1 points per game. The offense thrives on getting out in transition, averaging 18.4 fast-break points, which trails only one team in that particular category.
Denver has won three consecutive games, including a 95-94 victory over the Dallas Mavericks as seven-point home favorites Thursday night, while going UNDER the total for the sixth time in seven contests. The Nuggets suffered a major loss on their roster in that affair, as forward Danilo Gallinari is out for the season with a torn left ACL. He was second on the team in averaging 16.2 points per game and knocked down a team-high 135 3-pointers. Denver is 15-16 ATS as home favorites of 3.5 to 6 points the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 22-10 in that situation.
The Nuggets are a dominating 34-3 overall at the Pepsi Center, including a remarkable 21-1 versus conference foes. Denver is 10-8 in its last 18 home games against Houston, which can’t be ignored when making your NBA expert picks Saturday night. The franchise is 46-8 at home since the start of the 2009-10 season when facing an opponent that’s closing out a back-to-back situation.
Sports bettors will likely back the Rockets due to the underdog being 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series, while the Nuggets are 1-4 ATS following a SU win.
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