NASCAR Free Betting Picks – Advocare 500

Kyle Busch is among the three favored at +800

Advocare 500,Sunday, September 4th, 7:30 PM EST,Atlanta Motor Speedway.There are only two races remaining until the field will be set for the NASCAR’s Chase for the Championship, so this event Sunday night will be of high importance for all drivers.  No one is more favored than +800, and the field should be pretty tight.  Betting odds are taken from bodog.

Jimmie Johnson (8/1) is this weeks favorite. Johnson is looking to confirm his status as the top dog, and his recent successes have bettors feeling confident that he is going to win an unprecedented sixth consecutive championship.

Johnson is not trying to look too far ahead, though. He reiterated to reporters that he is “living in the now, worried about what we need to do today to win races.” His sense of immediacy always plays a role in his competitive attitude and it’s not unreasonable to expect Johnson to get off to a quick start Sunday night.

He has won three times at Atlanta and he also has the highest driver rating and highest average finish. In the fall, he placed third, but all indications are that he will best that performance this time around.

Johnson continued to address the issue of building momentum, saying that “any momentum you can build now is very helpful….I think of years where we’ve entered the Chase pretty far off….it’s not that you have to win but there’s nothing bad that comes from it and we’re here to win the race this weekend.”

Such optimism could be nullified if Carl Edwards (8/1) could return to form. Edwards is equally as focused as Johnson, and stated, “We’re locked in the Chase winning is all that matters right now.” Indeed, both drivers realize the supreme importance of this event and it should be a good one from start to finish.

Edwards, like Johnson, has three wins at Atlanta, and he also finished second at Atlanta in the fall, one spot ahead of Johnson.

Kyle Busch (8/1) is usually a decent option for bettors, but not so much at +800…He won the spring race in ’08 but has an average finish of 17.3 His history just isn’t as good as many of the other drivers at Atlanta, though, so to base your hopes upon his peak performance in ’08 might not be the wisest move. The odds aren’t particularly enticing given his lack of success in Atlanta.

The big ticket in this race will be the friction between drivers Kurt Busch (10/1) and Tony Stewart (11/1). Neither driver has been having their best races, and while Stewart’s year has been horrible over all, he has a good chance of at least beating Kurt Busch.

Another popular favorite Jeff Gordon (9/1) has the most wins of all drivers in Atlanta with four. Gordon’s risk taking might not pay off in a race like this given the number of drivers capable of solid starts. Matt Kenseth (12/1) has never won in Atlanta but he has shown a lot of consistency and effectiveness recently, and Kenseth finishing ahead of Gordon is not an unthinkable proposition by any means.

Both races last season were won from the second starting position, so pole position is absolutely crucial in this event. 59 of the 103 races at the Atlanta track havce been won by drivers who started in the first five slots.

Here is a list of the drivers with better than 100:1 odds of winning the event:

Odds to Win the AdvoCare 500 at Bodog

Carl Edwards 8/1
Jimmie Johnson 8/1
Kyle Busch 8/1
Jeff Gordon 9/1
Kevin Harvick 10/1
Kurt Busch 10/1
Brad Keselowski 11/1
Tony Stewart 11/1
Denny Hamlin 12/1
Matt Kenseth 12/1/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. 25/1
Greg Biffle 25/1
Clint Bowyer 28/1
Juan Pablo Montoya 30/1
Ryan Newman 30/1
Joey Logano 35/1
Mark Martin 35/1
David Ragan 40/1
David Reutimann 40/1
Kasey Kahne 20
Jeff Burton 40/1
Martin Truex Jr. 40/1
A.J. Allmendinger 50/1
Brian Vickers 50/1
David Gilliland 50/1
Jamie McMurray 50/1
Paul Menard 50/1
Marcos Ambrose 60/1
Regan Smith 100/1

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Posted by on Sep 3 2011. Filed under Headlines, NASCAR, Sports Handicapping. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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