MNF Betting Odds, Trends: New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers

New Orleans at Carolina
Time: 7:15 PM, ESPN
Spread: NO -7
Total: 50

odds c/o 5dimes

CAR

The Carolina Panthers are 6-7 this season but just 1-6 on the road where it encounters Cleveland this week. The Panthers have lost four-straight games, with losses to the Pittsburgh Steelers, Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks, and most recently, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Carolina trails New Orleans by an irretrievable four games in the NFC South.

Despite its struggles this season, Cam Newton has been very good once again. The dynamics dual-threat quarterback has thrown for nearly 3,000 yards on 69.5 percent passing with 24 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His passer rating is 99.8. Newton has completed nearly 1,300 passing yards just between his top two targets Christian McCaffrey and DJ Moore. McCaffrey has six of the team’s 24 passing TDs. He also leads the rush game with 863 yards on 163 carries with five rushes for 20-yards or more and five touchdowns.

Between Newton’s 450 yards and McCaffrey’s production, one has uncovered basically all of Carolina’s offensive attack, and Moore is the No. 3 rusher. That trio is the key to its offensive success, but it will struggle on the road where it has won just once this season.

N.O.

Drew Brees and dual-threat running back Alvin Kamara head the Saints’ top-NFL offensive attack. Brees has thrown for 2,964 yards at a 76.9 percent clip while averaging 8.9 yards-per-attempt. He averages 289.3 yards per game with 25 TDs on the season and just one interception. He has also only been sacked nine times (less than 1.0 per game) for a total loss of 71 yards.

Brees’ has an elite passer rating of 126.9. Kamara, meanwhile, has done it all for the Saints as a running back and wide receiver. He leads the team in rushing yardage with 617 and 11 TDs via the rush, while also being the No. 2 receiver with 56 of 72 targeted passes caught for 510 yards and four receiving TDs. Michael Thomas is the top receiver with over 1,000 yards and eight TDs, and a team-high 54 first downs.

The Saints have six others with 100 yards or more on the season, and it has 25 reception TDs to go with 19 via the rush. It is a balanced and potent offensive attack, and the Falcons will have its hands full with the multitude of ways Brees can punish a defense. Kamara won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award, and he has only built on his rookie success.

Trends C/o Covers

ATS TRENDS:

New Orleans
  • Saints are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.
  • Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
  • Saints are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games.
  • Saints are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win.
  • Saints are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games following a straight up win.
  • Saints are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games on grass.
  • Saints are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 vs. NFC South.
  • Saints are 35-17 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
  • Saints are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
Carolina
  • Panthers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 15.
  • Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Panthers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South.
  • Panthers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in December.
  • Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
  • Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.

OU TRENDS

New Orleans
  • Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games overall.
  • Under is 5-0 in Saints last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Over is 4-0 in Saints last 4 Monday games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 vs. NFC.
  • Under is 5-1 in Saints last 6 road games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games on grass.
  • Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games following a ATS win.
Carolina
  • Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games in December.
  • Over is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 home games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 8-2-1 in Panthers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Over is 6-2 in Panthers last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Under is 8-3 in Panthers last 11 games in Week 15.
  • Over is 34-15-2 in Panthers last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Carolina.
  • Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
  • Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
  • Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
  • Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Carolina.
  • Road team is 24-10 ATS in their last 34 meetings.
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