Friday Night NCAA Football Odds: Navy Midshipmen at Connecticut Huskies

(Photo Credit: Navy Football, 2012)

Navy at UConn

Time: Friday, 7 PM CST (ESPN 2)

Spread: NAV -27

Total: 56.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Navy Midshipmen is 6-1 and winners of its past four. Navy travels to face UConn Friday night at 7 PM (CST) on ESPN 2. Navy is 27-point favorites, and the over/under is set at 56.5 points according to NCAA football oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.

NAVY

Navy last defeated Tulane 41-38, its closest call of the season in any victory. In the three weeks prior it defeated South Florida, Tulsa, and Air Force. The Midshipmen have the nation’s top rush offense, generating 350.7 yards per game on the ground. It ranks near the bottom in passing with just 89.4 yards per game. The Midshipmen still pack a lot of punch scoring 37.9 points per game while possessing a defense that limits its opponents to just 19.3 per, good for a point differential of + 18.2.

Navy quarterback Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 1,590 yards at a 64.5 percent clip with 14 touchdown passes and just three interceptions. Brissett ranks No. 3 in rushing yards with 106 yards on 35 attempts and a touchdown. Lead-rusher Marlon Mack has 138 attempts for 590 yards and three touchdowns, while No. 2 back Jordan Wilkins has 23 attempts for 139 yards (though he leads the team with 6.0 yards-per-carry). Navy averages 5.8 yards per attempt, and it has 2,455 rushing yards on the season.

The wide receivers are led by T.Y. Hilton’s 32 catches for 360 yards and five touchdowns. Zach Pascal has caught 14 passes and three touchdowns, while the tight ends Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle have combined for 37 catches and over 440 yards between them.

UCONN

Connecticut is 2-6 on the season but is coming off a rare victory as it defeated UMass 56-35 last outing. Jack Zergiotis threw 18 of 27 for 198 yards and a touchdown, though he did throw an interception. He rushed just once for five yards.

Kevin Mensah, though, was dominant. He rushed 19 times for 164 yards and five touchdowns. Art Tompkins added another 135 yards and a TD.

The Huskies rushed 41 times in the game for 326 yards, averaging eight yards-per-carry. Cameron Ross led the receivers with nine catches for 120 yards and a touchdown. Jay Rose had two catches for 21 yards and a TD. The Huskies completed 19 passes for 213 yards and two touchdowns. The win was Connecticut’s first road win of the season after losing its first three away games.

Mensah and Thompkins have had good seasons despite the losing record. Mensah has 696 yards and nine touchdowns and a 4.6 yard-per-carry average. Thompkins has 80 attempts for 375 yards and two touchdowns. Ross has also had a great year at WR, with his 40 total catches for 478 yards and two touchdowns. UConn has scored 12 rushing touchdowns and nine via the pass this season.

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Navy
  • Midshipmen are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Midshipmen are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
  • Midshipmen are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
  • Midshipmen are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Midshipmen are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Midshipmen are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Midshipmen are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games in November.
  • Midshipmen are 22-9-1 ATS in their last 32 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Midshipmen are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 Friday games.
  • Midshipmen are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
  • Midshipmen are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
  • Midshipmen are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Midshipmen are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Connecticut
  • Huskies are 18-41-1 ATS in their last 60 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
  • Huskies are 3-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Huskies are 20-47-2 ATS in their last 69 games overall.
  • Huskies are 8-19-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up win.
  • Huskies are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games in November.
  • Huskies are 10-26-1 ATS in their last 37 home games.
  • Huskies are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win.
  • Huskies are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Huskies are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
  • Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
  • Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Huskies are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
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