Last night in player prop bets I was 3 of 5, bringing the season total to 12-9-1. Tonight’s heavy slab of games offers a lot of good bets on Bodog.
Here’s a look at tonight’s selected player prop bets.
Mo Williams Over/Under 19.5 points vs Boston
UNDER. Despite the fact that Mo Williams has been on fire, scoring 25, 20, and 25 in his last three games, he only averaged 13 points per in the 6 playoff games against Boston last year, and Rondo is a great defender. His season average is 16.2 and the Bodog line seems to be predicated upon his recent play. Boston is a tough defensive team and they will be keying in on Mo Williams and J.J. Hickson.
Rip Hamilton Over/Under 12.5 points vs Orlando
OVER. Hamiton is averaging 15.2 points over his last five and though Orlando is a tough defensive team, Vince Carter returns to the lineup tonight and his defense has been pretty poor recently. Last game against Orlando on Feb 17th, Hamiton erupted for 36 points. Though I expect Detroit to lose this game, I think Hamilton will have another big night.
Rodney Stuckey Over/Under 15 points vs Orlando
OVER. Stuckey has scored 15 or more in each of his last six games and his size will give Jameer Nelson fits tonight. We might see more of Duhon, as he has the size to match up with Stuckey. Last year in his three games against Orlando, Stuckey averaged 16.3 ppg and exceeded 15 in two of those three games. His 6’5″ frame will be enough to bully the Magic guards and he should score 20+ tonight.
Brook Lopez Over/Under 28.5 Pts+Rebs vs NY
UNDER. Lopez is off to a bad start this season and last year, which was a much better year for him, he averaged 28 total pts+rebs against the Knicks in three games. The main reason he will fall under is his poor rebounding. Lopez is averaging only 6.2 rebounds per game this year and will have to step up his boards to have any chance of going over the 28.5 total.
Devin Harris Over/Under 26.5 Pts+Assts vs NY
OVER. Over his last four games Harris is averaging 22.8 points per game and and 7 assists per game, for a total average of 29.8, well over the 26.5 mark. New York is known for playing a fast paced game and that benefits the speedy Harris. Last game against the Knicks, on March 6th 2010, Harris went for 31 points and 4 assists. Expect a similar line tonight.
Raymond Felton Over/Under 24.5 Pts+Assts vs NJ
OVER. Felton is having a career year and I don’t expect Harris to slow him down much. He’s averaging 26 total pts+assists this year. Over his last 5 games he is averaging 28.8 total pts+assists, and he had 23 pts and 11 assists last outing against Detroit in a 125-116 win. Felton will have a big night tonight and should be up in the 30-32 range for pts+assts.
Roy Hibbert Over/Under 25.5 Pts+Rebs vs Sacto
OVER. Hibbert is averaging 25.7 pts+rebs this year, but will be playing against the inexperienced Cousins for most of the night. In his last two outings he has averaged 32.5 Pts+asts. He didn’t have a particularly good game last time against Sacramento (10 pts, 6 rebs), but that was last year, and Hibbert is a much improved player over then.
Manu Ginobili Over/Under 22.5
OVER. As I mentioned in my betting preview for the Spurs vs Warriors game, Ginobili is having a career year and will be playing against one of the worst defensive teams in the league. He has scored 23 or more in all four of his last four games, and is shooting 42% from behind the arc. I expect Ginobili to score 30+ tonight.