ECF Game 5 Betting Preview: Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics

Kevin Love was hardly a factor in Game 4 after an outstanding Game 3. Which Love shows up tonight?

Game 5
Series Tied 2-2
CLE at BOS
Spread: EVEN
Total: 206

Odds c/o 5dimes

For the first time in this series, the Boston Celtics are not underdogs according to NBA oddsmakers. They are not favored, either. NBA oddsmakers at 5dimes set the line EVEN for Game 5, which will tip off at 7:30 PM (Central) on ESPN.

The betting total is set at 206 points, and through the first four games, the average point total is 201.75 points. That would lead us to favor the UNDER, if not for Cavaliers head coach Tyronn Lue has already said he wants the Cavs to up the pace in Game 5.

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While the Odds are set EVEN, the home team has won every game in this series thus far, so we do like Boston to bounce back from consecutive losses in Cleveland and take a crucial swing game 5. While no one is quick to count out LeBron James anymore, this Game 5 is every bit as crucial as it is typically labeled.

Teams that have a 3-2 series edge go on to win 85.9 percent of the time.

A lot of this is because the Game 5 home team is the team with home-court advantage, but it should be more than applicable to this series given how well the Celtics tend to play at the TD Garden. While Games 3 and 4 were all-Cavaliers, the shift in venue will play no small role in the outcome of this game.

Boston shot just 41.2 percent from the floor in Game 4, as the Cavaliers won 111-102. Jaylen Brown had a superb outing, shooting 10 of 23 from the field en route to a team-high 25 points, but LeBron James went super-human on Boston again, finishing with 44 points, three assists, and five rebounds while recording a +9 mark in his 42 minutes of court time. James also was able to stimulate some help from George Hill, Tristan Thompson, and Kyle Korver, which helped fully offset a miserable game by Kevin Love.

Love was just 3 of 12 from the floor but did grab 11 rebounds (2 offensive) while dishing out three assists. Love has not adapted well to being anything but an alpha, meanwhile, Korver has proved himself to be more of a second option, with fewer field goals. Korver’s defensive play was also as outstanding as it was anomalous, as the 6’7” forward finished with three blocks, none of which were “Cheap.” At this point, people are now listing him among the elite of his 2003 draft, though when it was conducted he was a lowly second-rounder. An All-Star appearance in Atlanta later and a key performance in a crucial playoff game has many re-thinking just how good Korver actually is. LBJ will need all of that help once again in a tough road game that will have a high influence on the eventual outcome of this series.

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ATS TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Cavaliers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Cavaliers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Cavaliers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Cavaliers are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Wednesday games.
Boston
  • Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.
  • Celtics are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
  • Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Celtics are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games.
  • Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Celtics are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Celtics are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
  • Celtics are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Celtics are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Celtics are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 vs. NBA Central.
  • Celtics are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Celtics are 52-24-1 ATS in their last 77 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Cleveland
  • Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 6-2 in Cavaliers last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Under is 14-6 in Cavaliers last 20 games following a ATS win.
Boston
  • Under is 4-0 in Celtics last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 10-3 in Celtics last 13 home games.
  • Over is 10-3 in Celtics last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 15-5-1 in Celtics last 21 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 9-3 in Celtics last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 overall.
  • Over is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 vs. NBA Central.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
  • Under is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Boston.
  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
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