Eastern Conference Finals: Toronto Raptors at Milwaukee Bucks—Game 5 Preview, Odds, Trends

Khris Middleton scored a game high 30 points in Game 4, connecting on 11 of 15 from the field in a Bucks’ loss.

TOR @ MIL Game 5

Series Tied 2-2

Time: 7:30 PM CT (TNT)

Spread: MIL -7.5

Total: 214.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The home team has won every game in this series. After pushing ahead 2-0, the Milwaukee Bucks dropped both games In Toronto to head back to Milwaukee with a tied series. Without hyperboles, the importance of game 5 cannot be ignored: The winner of it puts the opposing team’s back to the wall and facing elimination.

NBA oddsmakers expect that winner to be the home team again, favoring the Bucks by 7.5 points in a game that will tip-off at 7:30 PM (CT) on ESPN. The betting total is 214.5 points.

Perhaps the most interesting thing about this series is that no one game has been decided by fewer than six points. The Raptors won Gm. 4 in convincing fashion, running away with a 120-102 victory and highlighting how energy-deficient the Bucks really were in a  tough road game at the Air Canada Center. Despite playing through injury, Kawhi Leonard still had 19 points on 6 of 13 shooting.

But the real hero was often-disappearing Kyle Lowry.

The All-Star point guard had 25 points on 6 of 11 shooting while hitting 10 of 10 from the line, dishing out six assists and snagging five rebounds. Marc Gasol also had one of his finer games of this postseason, scoring 17 points and dishing out seven assists, while also continuing his superb defensive efforts in holding Bucks 5-man Brook Lopez to just eight points on five field goal attempts.

For the Bucks, Khris Middleton had a huge Game 4 in the loss. He connected on a highly-efficient 11 of 15 from the field en route to a game-high 30 points. Middleton added seven assists and six rebounds, though he finished -17 for his 36 minutes of court time. The Bucks really fell apart mostly in the second quarter after trailing by just one after the first quarter. Milwaukee struggled with Giannis Antetokounmpo resting, losing the second quarter 33-24 and never finding the means to make up that deficit. \

The Bucks will need a bigger game from Eric Bledsoe in Game 5. He shot just 2 of 7 from the field in Game 4, finishing with five points in 20 minutes. Bledsoe made the First All-Defensive team and is a key performer, but both he and Malcolm Brogdon have been inconsistent in this series. If both can show up, the Bucks should be able to manage to take the 3-2 series lead with a ‘W.’ Milwaukee cannot rely on Giannis and Middleton to do “everything.”

ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):

Toronto
  • Raptors are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Raptors are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Thursday games.
  • Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Central.
  • Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Milwaukee
  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
  • Bucks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
  • Bucks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
  • Bucks are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss.
  • Bucks are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
  • Bucks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Bucks are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Bucks are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Bucks are 37-15-2 ATS in their last 54 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Bucks are 41-20-2 ATS in their last 63 games overall.
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