College Hoops Picks: Washington Huskies at #16 Oregon Ducks
Washington Huskies at #16 Oregon Ducks
Saturday, January 26, 2013, 7:00 pm Eastern, TV: Pac 12 Network
Matthew Knight Arena – Eugene, Oregon
Opening Line: Oregon -8 1/2
Current Line: Oregon -7 1/2
Opening Total: 137
Current Total 137
Opening Money Line: Oregon -360 / Washington +290
Current Money Line: Oregon -350 / Washington +280
The 17-2 Oregon Ducks are 6-0 in the Pac 12 and lead the conference by a half game over 6-1 UCLA. The #16 Ducks host the 12-7 Washington Huskies who are 4-2 in conference. The Huskies are tied with Arizona and Arizona St for third in the conference.
Washington leads the series 186-105 against Oregon. The Huskies have won 13 of the last 19 in the series. Washington won the season series 2-1 last year. Each team won at home, and then Washington beat Oregon in Seattle 90-86 in the NIT quarterfinals.
Washington is coached by Lorenzo Romar. Washington has home losses to Albany, Colorado St, Nevada, and Utah, along with road losses at UConn, and Oregon St 74-66 Wednesday. The Huskies also have a loss to Ohio St in a tournament in Connecticut. Washington has key wins over Seton Hall in Connecticut, home against Saint Louis, CS-Fullerton, Seattle, Cal-Poly, Northern Illinois, and Colorado, and road wins over Washington St, Cal and Stanford. The Huskies have lost 2 straight games to teams that were previously winless in the Pac 12. Washington is 9-8 ATS and the total is 3-5 this season.
Washington is outscoring teams 69-66 this season. The Huskies are shooting 43.6% from the field and 35.8% from 3 point range. Washington makes 69.4% of their free throws. The Huskies average 36.6 rebounds per game and give up 28.1 per game. Washington opponents are shooting 42.3% from the field and 32.9% from 3 point range. The Huskies average 12 assists, 4 steals, 5 blocks, and 12 turnovers.
Guard C.J. Wilcox averages 19.3 points, 4.8 rebounds, 2 assists, and 1.3 blocks per game. Guard Scott Suggs averages 12.1 points, 2.6 rebounds and 1.9 assists. Guard Abdul Gaddy averages 11.3 points, 2.9 rebounds, and 3.4 assists. Center Aziz N’Diaye averages 10.7 points, 9.5 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game. Guard Andrew Andrews averages 7.8 points, 2.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists. Desmond Simmons averages 5.3 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.2 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Shawn Kemp, Jr., Jernard Jarreau, and Hikeem Stewart make up the rest of the rotation. Forward Austin Sefarian-jenkins is out for the season with an elbow injury.
Oregon is coached by Dana Altman. The Ducks have losses Cincinnati in a tournament in Las Vegas an at UTEP in triple overtime. Oregon has key wins over Vanderbilt, at UNLV, Nebraska, Nevada, Oregon St, Arizona, and Arizona St at UCLA and USC, and at home against Washington St Wednesday night 68-61. Oregon has won 8 straight. The Ducks are 14-0 at home this season, and have won 18 straight at home dating back to last year. Oregon is 9-8 ATS and the total is 3-8 this season.
Oregon is outscoring teams 76-62 this season. Oregon is #33 in scoring nationally. The Ducks are shooting 46% from the field and 34.3% from 3 point range. Oregon is #41 in free throw shooting making 74% of their free throws. The Ducks are #25 in rebounding with 39.7 per game. Oregon is 25th in rebounds allowed, with 27.1 per game. Duck opponents are shooting 39.8% from the field and 31.5% from 3 point range. Oregon averages 15 assists, 9 steals, 4 blocks and 15 turnovers.
Oregon guard Damyean Dotson averages 11.9 points, 4.1 rebounds, and 1.1 assists. Center Tony Woods averages 11.1 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.3 blocks per game. Forward E.J. Singler averages 10.8 points, 5 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.2 steals a game. Forward Carlos Emory averages 10.2 points and 4.5 rebounds. Guard Dominic Artis averages 10.2 points, 2.5 rebounds, 3.8 assists, and 1.7 steals per game. Artis is doubtful with a foot injury. Forward Arsalan Kazemi averages 8.8 points, 9.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists, and 2.2 steals per game. Waverly Austin, Ben Carter and and Johnathan Loyd make up the rest of the rotation.
Washington is 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records, 5-2 after a straight up loss, and 2-5 in Saturday games. The over is 7-3 ATS in this series recently.
Oregon is 8-2 ATS in Saturday games, 13-4 in Pac 12 games, 6-2 at home against teams with winning road records, 20-7 against teams with winning records, 17-7 after a straight up win, 7-3 after failing to cover, and 21-9 overall. The home team is 4-1 ATS in this series recently. The Ducks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 against the Huskies in Eugene.
This Washington team has some puzzling losses to inferior teams. No one knows what they will do from game to game. Oregon is red hot right now but has had some close calls so far in conference play. I like Oregon to win but Washington stays inside the number.