College Football Week Six Betting: #15 Washington Huskies at #5 Stanford Cardinal

#15 Washington Huskies at #5 Stanford Cardinal
Stanford Stadium – Stanford, California
Saturday, October 5, 2013, 10:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Stanford -6 1/2
Current Line: Stanford -9 (+105)
Opening Total: 53
Current Total: 52 1/2
Opening Money Line: Stanford -300 / Washington +250
Current Money Line: Stanford -330 / Washington +270

Stanford is a 9 point favorite at home against Washington in a battle of pac 12 unbeatens.
Stanford is a 9 point favorite at home against Washington in a battle of Pac 12 unbeatens.

The #5 Stanford Cardinal and #15 Washington Huskies are both 4-0 this season as they meet Saturday night in Stanford. Washington leads the series 41-38-4 and has gone 22-8 in the last 30 against Stanford. However, the Cardinal has won 6 of the last 8. Washington upset Stanford 17-13 in Seattle last year and it was the only loss of the season for Stanford.

Washington is coached by Steve Sarkisian. The Huskies have home wins over Boise State 38-6, Idaho State 56-0 and last week against Arizona 31-13. Washington also has a road win at Illinois 34-24. The Huskies are 3-1 ATS and the total is 1-3 this season. Washington was an 8.5 point favorite at home against Arizona last week and the total was 60.

Washington jumped out to an 11-0 lead early against Arizona and the whole game was played in a driving rain storm. Both teams missed extra points in the first half and Washington would take an 11-6 lead into halftime. The Huskies would outscore the Wildcats 20-7 in the second half to take the 18 point victory in the Pac 12 opener for both schools. Washington had 409 total yards including 244 rushing yards. Arizona had 318 total yards including 199 rushing yards. Both teams had 7 penalties and the Wildcats had 2 turnovers to 1 for the Huskies.

Washington is outscoring teams 40-11 this season. The Huskies are #27 in scoring and #5 in points allowed nationally. Washington is #4 nationally in total offense at 574 yards per game, with 285.2 passing yards (#31 nationally) and 288.8 rushing yards (#11). On defense, The Huskies are allowing 288 yards per game including 156.8 passing and 132 rushing yards. Washington is #13 in total defense and #9 against the pass. The Huskies are +2 in turnovers with 7 takeaways. Washington is averaging 93 penalty yards per game and opponents are averaging 51. The Huskies are 37/64 on third and fourth down conversions, and opponents are 33/85. Washington has forced 13 sacks and allowed 3. The Huskies are 20/23 scoring in the red zone with 17 touchdowns, and opponents are 6/10 with 4 touchdowns. Washington has outscored opponents 36-0 in the first quarter this season.

Quarterback Keith Price has completed 72.3% of his passes for 1,044 yards with 9 touchdowns and 2 interceptions along with 17 carries for 46 yards and a rushing touchdown. Running back Bishop Sankey has 104 carries, 607 yards and 5 touchdowns, along with 4 catches 75 yards and a touchdown. Jesse Callier has 25 carries, 162 yards and 3 touchdowns, along with 4 catches for 40 yards. Dwayne Washington has 27 carries, 116 yards and a touchdown, along with a touchdown catch. Receiver Kevin Smith has 15 catches for 269 yards and a touchdown. Kasen Williams has 16 catches 255 yards and a touchdown. Jaydon Mickens has 21 catches, 214 yards and a touchdown.  Tight end Austin Seferian-Jenkins has 10 catches, 91 yards and 2 touchdowns. Joshua Perkins has only 3 catches, but 2 went for touchdowns.

Stanford is coached by David Shaw. The Cardinal have home wins over San Jose State 34-13 and Arizona State 42-28. Stanford has road wins at Army 34-20 and last week against Washington State 55-17 in Seattle. Stanford is 2-2 ATS and the total is 3-1 this season. The Cardinal were 9 point favorites against Washington State and the total was 46.5.

After the two teams exchanged field goals in the first quarter Stanford scored 45 unanswered points to take control of the game against Washington State. The Cardinal would never look back in the 55-17 rout. The Cardinal had 560 total yards including 238 rushing yards. Washington State had 373 total yards including 322 passing yards. Stanford overcame 9 penalties and a turnover, while the Cougars had 2 turnovers including a pick six.

Stanford is outscoring teams 41-20 this season. The Cardinal are averaging 440.8 yards per game on offense including 219.5 rushing yards. On defense, Stanford is allowing 343.5 total yards per game, including 238.5 passing yards and 105 rushing yards. Stanford is +1 in turnovers with 6 takeaways. Stanford is 35/59 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 27/75. Stanford averages 39 penalty yards per game and opponents average 43. The Cardinal have forced 9 sacks and allowed 3 this season. Stanford is 14/15 scoring in the red zone with 9 touchdowns and opponents are 9/10 with 6 touchdowns. The Cardinal have two pick sixes this season.

Stanford QB Kevin Hogan has completed 63.2% of his passes for 832 yards with 10 touchdowns and 3 picks, along with 19 carries for 111 yards. Running back Tyler Gaffney has 77 carries, 377 yards and 5 touchdowns, along with 5 catches, 48 yards and a touchdown. Anthony Wilkerson has 41 carries, 191 yards and a touchdown, along with 4 catches for 32 yards. Receiver Ty Montgomery has 20 catches, 327 yards and 4 touchdowns. Devon Cajuste has 10 catches, 244 yards and 3 touchdowns. Michael Rector has 3 catches for 119 yards and 2 touchdowns. Three Stanford defensive players are listed as questionable or out.

Washington is 4-0 ATS after passing for less than 170 yards, 5-1 in Pac 12 games, and against teams with winning records, 8-2 overall, 5-2 after a straight up win, and after rushing for more than 200 yards, 14-36-2 in October, 3-9 in road games, 2-6 on grass, and 1-7 against teams with a winning record at home. Seven of the last nine in this series have gone under the total.

Stanford is 4-0 ATS after allowing more than 280 passing yards, 25-3-1 after scoring more than 40 points, 25-6-1 after passing for more than 280 yards, and 8-2 in October, 26-7-1 after a straight up win of 20 points or more, 7-2 against teams with winning records, 20-6-1 after a cover and after rushing for more than 200 yards, 19-6-1 in Pac 12 games, 17-6 after allowing less than 100 rushing yards, 16-6 after gaining more than 450 total yards, 5-2 against teams with winning road records, 36-15-1 after a straight up win, 37-17-1 overall, 34-16-1 on grass and after allowing 20 points or less, and 25-12 at home. The Cardinal are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 against Washington, and 3-1-1 in Stanford against the Huskies.

It used to be Stanford used to rely on their dominant defense to win games and the offense just had to keep from turning the ball over. However, this season, the offense is more potent and the defense isn’t quite as dominant as it has been. Still the Cardinal have a top 35 defense nationally. Washington struggled on offense last week but they were playing in a torrential downpour and the field was a sloppy mess, and Arizona is decent on defense. I think this will be a high scoring game and Stanford wins a close one.

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