College Football Week 9 Picks and Predictions: Pittsburgh Panthers at Navy Midshipmen
Odds courtesy of Bovada
Pittsburgh has defeated all but its two ranked opponents this season and the 4-2 Panthers enter the matchup against the Navy Midshipmen as 6-point favorites according to college football oddsmakers at Bovada.
Pitt looked good in its 35-24 victory over Old Dominion last week, and the Panthers improved to 2-2 in the ACC with the victory. Isaac Bennett rushed 30 times for 240 yards including three TDs in the affair. The back has 77 carries on the season for 450 yards with 5 TDs, and Pitt’s other featured back James Connor has rushed for 354 yards on 64 carries and 4 TDs.
Pitt senior QB Tom Savage has had middling accuracy with 56.8 percent going for completion, but he still has 1,343 yards on the season and has 11 TDs to 6 INTs for a very solid QB rating of 145.2. Savage had his most productive game in the shootout against Duke, amassing 424 yards on 23-of-33 passing with 6 TDs and 0 INTs. He’s been far less impressive in outings against Virginia (13-of-31) ad Virginia Tech (13-of-28).
Navy has relied almost exclusively on the run once again this season, but the Midshipmen are doing a good job at it. The team has rushed for 300.7 yards per game, good for sixth in the nation and helping to drive a rather productive offense which averages 29.7 points per contest. Navy has lost its last two weeks to Duke, 35-7, and Toledo, 45-44 2 OT. The Midshipmen did score big victories over Indiana in week 1 and Western Kentucky in week 3, but the defense may have trouble contending with Pitt since it has allowed 25.2 points per game this season. In particular, the Midshipmen have given up 90 points over the last two games, which doesn’t bode well for keeping the Panthers in-check in this contest.
Keenan Reynolds is the driving force behind the Navy attack. He doesn’t throw often (56 attempts, 31 completions), but he has rushed for 453 yards on 126 carries with 10 rushing TDs on the year. He has thrown three passing TDs, as well, with just one interception. Reynolds shares the carries with a host of Midshipmen backs, led by Chris Swain (263 yards), Noah Copeland (219 yards), DeBrandon Sanders (208 yards) and Marcus Thomas (199 yards). The Navy’s attack may be as predictable as it comes, but that hasn’t prevented success in what should be a closely contested game with a decent bit of scoring, with college football odds rendering the total at 52.
Pitt Betting Trends:
UNDER 7-1 in last 8 on turf; UNDER 6-1 in last 7 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in previous game; 5-1 ATS in last 6 following ATS loss.
Navy Betting Trends:
UNDER 5-0 in last 5 after scoring more than 40 in the previous game; OVER 4-0 in last 4 home games vs teams with winning road records; 0-5 ATS in last 5 vs teams with winning road records.