College Football Week 9 Picks: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Saturday, 10/25/14, 7:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Alabama -16
Current Betting Line:  Alabama -17
Opening Total:  N/A
Current Total:  N/A
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Alabama Crimson Tide have a top five defense heading into Week 9
The Alabama Crimson Tide have a top five defense heading into Week 9

Alabama has won back-to-back games since suffering its first loss of the season, including a 59-0 blowout victory over the Texas A&M Aggies as 11-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for a third consecutive affair.  The Crimson Tide are 50-38-7 SU all-time against the Volunteers, which is important to consider when making your Week 9 college football betting picks, while they’ve won all seven games in the series under current head coach Nick Saban.  Alabama is 9-2 SUATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Crimson Tide have been fantastic in third down opportunities under first-year coordinator Lane Kiffin, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds page, as they’ve converted on 53 percent of their tries.  Alabama enters this Southeastern Conference matchup ranks third nationally in total defense, as the group is allowing just 261.6 yards per game, with safety Landon Collins leading the way with 50 tackles and two interceptions in seven contests.

Tennessee has dropped four of its last five games, including a 34-3 defeat to the Ole Miss Rebels as 16-point road underdogs in Week 8, while losing the statistical battle by 192 yards.  The Volunteers are allowing just 166.3 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks managing just 5.7 yards per attempt.  It’s also important to point out that this squad leads the SEC and ranks behind just seven teams in posting a 28 percent third-down conversion rate on defense.  Tennessee is 0-9 SU and 5-4 ATS as underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points since 2012, with the OVER going 5-3-1 in those nine opportunities.

The Volunteers will be playing their ninth straight SEC West opponent that’s either ranked in the top eight or undefeated at the time of the game.  Tennessee is aiming for its first win over a top-10 opponent since 2006—dropping its last 22 matchups in that situation.

Sports bettors will likely back the Volunteers due to the Crimson Tide being 4-6 ATS as road favorites the last two-plus seasons.

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