College Football Week 5 Picks: SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs

SMU Mustangs vs. TCU Horned Frogs
Saturday, 9/28/13, 12:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  TCU -19.5
Current Betting Line:  TCU -17.5
Opening Total:  52.5
Current Total:  49
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The TCU Horned Frogs are 45-6 SU in day games over the last nine seasons
The TCU Horned Frogs are 45-6 SU in day games over the last nine seasons

SMU wraps up its non-conference schedule by traveling across the Metroplex to face arch rival TCU in the State Farm DFW duel, with quarterback Garrett Gilbert leading the nation in completions per game and sitting behind just six signal callers in averaging 338.3 passing yards.  Over the past 31 games, the Mustangs are 16-0 when scoring first and 0-15 when their opponent scores first, which is important to consider when making your college football betting picks Saturday.  SMU is 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points, with the UNDER going 3-2 in that situation.

The Mustangs are 40-45-7 all-time against the Horned Frogs, as they attempt to gain revenge from a 24-16 loss as 13.5-point home underdogs last season, while going UNDER the betting total of 52 in that affair.  SMU has some very capable receivers to help out Gilbert, with Darius Joseph and Jeremy Johnson sitting third and 18th respectively in catches per game.

TCU returns to the gridiron after an open date in Week 4, as it has compiled a 25-8 record in regular-season games following a loss under head coach Gary Patterson, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page.  The Horned Frogs have outscored their last 23 opponents at home by an average margin of 42-16.  Over the last nine campaigns, the program is 45-6 in day games and 75-12 in Saturday contests.  TCU is 5-1 SU and 1-5 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2011, with the UNDER going 4-2 in that situation.

The Horned Frogs possess the best record in the state of texas among college football programs since 2005, while they rank fourth nationally in that particular category.  TCU quarterback Trevone Boykin is 3-2 on the road in the Big 12 Conference, with wins over Baylor, West Virginia and Texas last season.  He is averaging 132.3 yards in the passing game and 49.7 yards on the ground this season.

Sports bettors will likely back the Horned Frogs due to their 7-0 ATS record in their last seven games following a bye week.

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