College Football Week 4 Picks: Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Florida Gators
Saturday, 9/21/13, 3:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread: Florida -15.5
Current Betting Line: Florida -15
Opening Total: 48
Current Total: 47
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Tennessee hasn’t picked up a victory against Florida since 2004, while it has won just four times in the series since 1998. The Volunteers will be looking to bounce back from a 59-14 defeat to the Oregon Ducks as 28-point road underdogs last Saturday—getting outgained by 371 yards in that affair. The program has a chance of covering this number if it forces Florida into a couple mistakes, as it is tied for third nationally with nine turnovers forced during the 2013 campaign. Tennessee is 0-12 SU and 2-10 ATS as underdogs over the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when making your college football betting picks in Week 4.
The Volunteers lead the Southeastern Conference in red zone defense, turnover margin and fewest penalty yards. Tennessee will be focused on snapping an eight-game losing streak to Florida, while ending an eight-game conference losing streak on the road. It’s also important to point out that the program has dropped its last 17 games against ranked opponents, as it tries to improve to 3-1 for a third consecutive season. The offensive line is the program’s strength this season with 133 combined starts within the unit.
Florida has won its SEC opener in eight straight seasons, as it enters averaging 414.0 yards per game on offense and allowing just 208.5 yards per game on defense. The Gators have limited opponents to a combined 2-for-24 on third-down conversions—ranking third nationally in that particular category. Over the course of 14 possessions by the Hurricanes, the Gators defense limited them to five yards or less on 10 of those drives. Florida is 3-1 SU and 1-3 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points, with the OVER going 3-1 in that situation.
The Gators have totaled 400-plus yards in each of their first two games this season, which is impressive when you consider they reached that mark just three times in 2012. Florida became the only SEC team that has held the ball for 38 minutes or more in back-to-back games since 1996. In 19 wins during the Will Muschamp era, the program has compiled a plus-20 turnover margin, while posting a plus-21 mark in that category in nine losses.
Sports bettors will likely back the Gators due to their 9-2-1 ATS mark in their last 12 games in September.
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