College Football Week 13 Predictions: Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Saturday, 11/23/13, 12:21 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Mississippi State -3
Current Betting Line:  Mississippi State -1.5
Opening Total:  50.5
Current Total:  50.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have never beaten the Razorbacks in Arkansas
The Mississippi State Bulldogs have never beaten the Razorbacks in Arkansas

Mississippi State has dropped three games in a row, including a 20-7 setback to the Alabama Crimson Tide as 23.5-point home underdogs last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total of 54.  The Bulldogs have never defeated the Razorbacks in the state of Arkansas—entering with an 0-9-1 SU record in that situation.  With Dan Mullen at the helm, the program has never lost four consecutive contests, which is important to consider when making your college football predictions.  Mississippi State is 2-2 SUATS when the betting line is +3 to -3 the last two-plus seasons.

The Bulldogs managed 197 total yards against the Southeastern Conference’s top defense last week, which marked the first time they’ve failed to manufacture at least 333 yards in that category.  Mississippi State is led by the play of Dak Prescott, who is one of two players in the conference to lead their teams in both rushing and passing yards.  He is tied for third in the SEC with 12 touchdowns scored.

Arkansas is set to play its final home game of the 2013 campaign, as it comes off its second regular-season bye week.  The Razorbacks have rushed for at least 200 yards in six of 10 games this season, which is important to consider when looking over the NCAA football betting lines Saturday.  Including season openers, midweek games, bye weeks and bowl games, first-year head coach Brett Bielema is 16-7 SU with more than one week to prepare for an opponent.  He’s also compiled a 47-8 SU record in his career when playing at home.  Arkansas is 9-13 ATS versus conference opponents the last two-plus seasons.

The Razorbacks have played the 13th-toughest schedule in the NCAA based on cumulative winning percentage, while they continue to be led by first-year players on the football field.  True freshman Alex Collins is averaging 94.6 rushing yards per game—ranking 5th in the SEC and 34th nationally in that statistical category.  He has rattled off 31 rushes of 10 or more yards in his first year on campus.

Sports bettors will likely back the Razorbacks due to the home team being 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this rivalry.

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