College Football Week 13 Picks: LSU Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
No. 7 LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks
Friday, 11/23/12, 2:30 PM EST, TV: CBS
Opening Point Spread: LSU -12.5
Current Betting Line: LSU -12
Opening Total: 51
Current Total: 51
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
LSU travels to Fayetteville for the first time since 1992, as it has a chance to reach the 10-win mark for the sixth time in eight years under Les Miles. The Tigers scored 21 fourth-quarter points in a 41-35 come-from-behind victory over the Mississippi Rebels as 19-point home favorites last week. Defensively, the team surrendered more than 300 yards passing for the second consecutive game, which could prove to be an important factor in this Southeastern Conference matchup. LSU is 8-4 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons, while going UNDER the total all three times in that situation during the 2012 campaign.
The Tigers are worthy of being double-digit road favorites on the college football odds page, as they’ve compiled a 38-2 record when scoring 20 or more points since the 2009 season. LSU ranks second in the conference with a plus-13 turnover margin, while it has had the same offensive line start the past five games. The team holds a 35-20-2 advantage in this particular series, which includes a 41-17 victory as 10.5-point home favorites last year.
Arkansas is set to wrap up a disappointing 2012 season, as it returns home after suffering back-to-back losses on the road to the Mississippi State Bulldogs and South Carolina Gamecocks. The Razorbacks have had 18 players make their first collegiate start this season, which is the most in the conference and sixth-highest total nationally. Defensively, the unit surrendered 505 yards last week, which was the fourth time this season it has allowed 500-plus in that category. Arkansas is 0-6 ATS when playing a team with a winning record this year, with the OVER going 4-2 in that situation.
The Razorbacks rank third in the SEC and 25th in college football in averaging 296.3 passing yards per game, with quarterback Tyler Wilson completing 23 of 29 passes for 225 yards against the Bulldogs. He sits just 87 yards behind Ryan Mallett in becoming the school’s all-time passing leader. Fellow senior Cobi Hamilton is his favorite target, as he’s just three receptions short of the career record held by Jarius Wright.
Sports bettors will likely play the total, as the OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series.
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