College Football Week 13 Picks: Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Baylor Bears vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
Saturday, 11/24/12, 2:30 PM EST, TV:  FOX
Opening Point Spread:  Baylor -2
Current Betting Line:  Baylor -3.5
Opening Total:  78
Current Total:  79.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Baylor Bears are looking to win back-to-back games against the Texas Tech Red Raiders for the first time since 1986-87

Baylor’s 66-42 win over Texas Tech last season was its first in the series during the Big 12 Conference era, as it won the statistical battle by a 617-444 margin.  The Bears are coming off an impressive 52-24 victory over the Kansas State Wildcats as 12-point home underdogs last week, while going OVER the total for a second consecutive week.   “We have a hungry football team and we matched up really well,” stated Bears quarterback Nick Florence.  Baylor is 5-2 ATS versus conference foes this season, with the OVER going 5-2 in those affairs.

The Bears haven’t won back-to-back games against the Red Raiders since 1986-87, as they will focus on creating turnovers on the defensive end.  Baylor is 13-2 when forcing two or more turnovers under the direction of defensive coordinator Phil Bennett, as the unit has come away with seven interceptions and two fumble recoveries over its last four conference tilts.  Florence leads the nation in averaging 383.8 yards in total offense, with wide receiver Terrence Williams averaging 151.0 receiving yards.

Texas Tech is set to play its regular-season finale and will look to bounce back from a 59-21 blowout loss to the Oklahoma State Cowboys as 10-point road underdogs last week.  The Red Raiders have run flat in losing three of their last four games after starting the year with a 6-1 record.  “I have no problem with the effort and how the guys go into each game and compete,” commented Red Raiders coach Tommy Tuberville.  The program owns a 36-33-1 advantage in this series, including a streak of 15-straight from 1996-2010.  Teas Tech is 6-9 ATS as an underdog over the last two-plus seasons, something to consider when looking at the college football odds page on Saturday.

The Red Raiders may be running out of gas as they get set to play their ninth consecutive game without a week of rest.  Texas Tech is one of three teams that ranks in the top 25 nationally in both total offense and total defense.  Quarterback Seth Doege will need to be tremendous in hopes of pulling off a slight upset, as he became the third player in school history to top 8,000 passing yards last week.

Sports bettors will likely back the Bears due to the favorite being 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series, while the Red Raiders are 2-7 ATS when playing at a neutral site.

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