College Football Picks ATS: (19) BYU Cougars at (10) UCLA Bruins

Paul Perkins is off to a fast start in 2015.
Paul Perkins is off to a fast start in 2015.

BYU vs. UCLA
Time: 10:30 PM  ET Sat, Sept 19, 2015 (FOX)
Spread: UCLA -17
Total: 60

Betting odds courtesy of Bovada

BYU is 2-0 on the season after impressive ‘Ws’ against Nebraska and then- No. 20 Boise State. It knocked off Boise State 35-24 last week and now it will find itself with a much tougher task this week in No. 10 ranked UCLA. The UCLA Bruins are 17-point favorites at Bovada while the over/under is set high at 60.

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BYU won the Boise State game on a second late TD pass by Tanner Mangum, and the upset was a nice highlight early on for this Cougars team. Mangum had 309 yards on the game on 17 of 28 passing and Adam Hine rushed for 93 yards on 19 carries including a TD. Mitchell Juergens led the team with 172 receiving yards including an 84 yard catch and two TDs. Devon Blackmon also had 105 yards on six catches and a 70-yarder.

Mangum has thrown for 420 yards on the season with a 10.77 yard per attempt average while having amassed a passer rating of 167.1. Hine has rushed for 130 yards on the season, with an average of 5.7 yards per carry. Taysom Hill has been good on his nine carries, averaging eight yards per and leading the team in rushing TDs with two.

Juergens is one of four BYU receivers with over 100 yards but the only with over 200 yards and he has two of the team’s four reception TDs. Kicker Trevor Samson has yet to miss, having hit 8 of 8 extra points and 2 of 2 FG, including a 41 yard attempt.

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UCLA knocked off Virginia 34-16 in Week 1 and defeated UNLV 37-3 in Week 2. Josh Rosen has thrown 50 of 77 for 574 yards and a 64.9 percent completion ratio with 7.46 yards per attempt. He’s thrown four TDs and just one INT on the year and has a passer rating of 142.1. His top receiving target is Jordan Payton, who has 124 yards on eight catches including a TD.

The Bruins have four receiving TDs and just three via the rush with Paul Perkins having accounted for two of those. Perkins has rushed for 210 yards on 32 carries and boasts a 6.6 yard per carry average. The 5-foot-11 junior running back ran for 1,575 yards last year with a 6.3 yard per carry average, and he had nine TDs on the season.

Perkins could easily pass that this year, and he’s built on his numbers each of his first two seasons at UCLA. The dual-talented back has also caught for 82 yards on seven catches, ranking second on the team in receiving yardage behind Jordan Payton.

Payton is in his senior season and caught for 954 yards last season while scoring seven TDs. He doubled his receptions to 67 last year and should be in for a big season as the No. 1 WR option for Rosen’s arm.

Between Payton and Perkins, this team has the weapons necessary to maintain a foothold on a top-10 ranking and the Bruins should be able to prevail in this contest as heavy favorites. Betting the 17-point spread is a much trickier proposition, but with the plethora of scoring tools in this game the OVER on the 60 point total is attractive.

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