College Football Betting Picks: TCU Horned Frogs at Arkansas Razorbacks

Texas Christian Horned Frogs at Arkansas Razorbacks
Saturday, September 9, 2017, 3:30 pm Eastern, TV: CBS
Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium – Fayetteville, Arkansas
Opening Line: Arkansas -2 1/2
Current Line: TCU -3
Opening Total: 59 1/2
Current Total: 59
Opening Money Line: Arkansas -155 / TCU +135
Current Money Line: TCU -160 / Arkansas +140

The Arkansas Razorbacks take on the TCU Horned Frogs Saturday in Fayetteville.

The Texas Christian Horned Frogs travel to the Arkansas Razorbacks Saturday. Arkansas leads the series 43-24-2 including 21-9-1 in Fayetteville/Little Rock. The Razorbacks won last year in Fort Worth 41-38 in double overtime. These two schools were former rivals in the now defunct Southwest Conference.

TCU is coached by Gary Patterson. TCU easily won their season opener last week by crushing Jackson State 63-0. However, they did not cover the 64 point spread and the game stayed under the 69 point total.

Arkansas is coached by Bret Bielema. Arkansas also won their season opener last week 49-7 against Florida A&M. The Razorbacks were 47 point favorites and the total was 60.5.

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TCU jumped out to a 21-0 lead in the first quarter and never looked back against overmatched Jackson State. The Horned Frogs would lead 35-0 at halftime. TCU expanded the lead to 56-0 at the end of the third, and added one more touchdown in the fourth to complete the 63-0 shutout. TCU scored two defensive touchdowns including a 53 yard interception return in the second and a 32 yard fumble return in the third quarter.

TCU had 542 total yards including 342 passing and 200 rushing yards. Jackson State had only 65 total yards including 41 passing and 24 rushing yards. The Horned Frogs had 24 first downs to 7 for the Tigers. TCU was 7/11 on third down conversions and 0/2 on fourth down conversions. JSU was 1/14 on third downs and 0/1 on fourth downs. The Horned Frogs had 5 penalties for 51 yards and the Tigers had 3 for 10 yards. Jackson State had two turnovers to one for TCU. The Tigers held possession for 33:17.

TCU quarterback Kenny Hill completed 18/20 passes for 206 yards with 4 touchdown passes and an interception. Shawn Robinson completed 5/7 passes for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns, and also had 3 carries for 43 yards.

Running back Darius Anderson had 13 carries for 67 yards. KeVontae Turpin had a 39 yard rushing touchdown on his only carry of the day. Sewo Olonilua, Kenedy Snell, and Grayson Muehlstein combined for almost 100 rushing yards. Snell also had a touchdown catch Running back Kyle Hicks is questionable against Arkansas for undisclosed reasons.

No TCU receiver had more than 4 catches, but 14 caught at least one pass. TreVontae Hights had a 56 yard touchdown catch. Desmon White had 2 catches for 50 yards and both went for touchdowns. Ty Slanina had 4 catches. Dylan Thomas and Emanuel Porter each had a touchdown catch.

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Arkansas jumped out to a 21-0 halftime lead against Florida A&M last Thursday night. They would expand the lead to 42-0 in the fourth quarter, before the Rattlers finally got on the board to make it 42-7. Arkansas added a late touchdown to make the final 49-7.

The Razorbacks had 415 total yards including 179 passing and 236 rushing. The Rattlers had 175 total yards including 95 passing and 80 rushing yards. Arkansas had 26 first downs to 9 for FAMU. The Razorbacks were 7/10 on third down conversions. The Rattlers were 3/16 on third down conversions and 3/4 on fourth downs. FAMU had 7 penalties for 55 yards and Arkansas had 2 for 20 yards. Each team had a turnover. Arkansas held possession for 34:30.

Arkansas quarterback Austin Allen completed 14 of 19 passes for 135 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Cole Kelly completed 2/3 passes for 44 yards with a touchdown.

Running back Chase Hayden had 14 carries for 120 yards and a touchdown. Devwah Whaley had 12 catches for 60 yards and a touchdown. David Williams had 7 carries for 23 yards and 2 touchdowns, plus 2 catches for 48 yards.

Receiver Jarrod Barnes had 2 catches for 30 yards. Jonathan Nance had 3 catches for 25 yards. Deon Stewart and Cheyenne O’Grady each had a touchdown catch. Receiver Koilan Jackson is out for the season as is tight end Grayson Gunter.

TCU is 4-1 ATS against teams with winning records, 5-2 after allowing less than 275 total yards, 11-5 after gaining 450 yards or more, 2-5 after rushing for more than 200 yards and against SEC teams, 2-6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards, 2-7 on fieldturf, 1-4 after scoring 40 points or more, against teams with winning records, in non-conference games, and 1-4 after a win by 20 points or more, 1-5 after allowing 20 points or less, 1-6 in September, 0-4 after a straight up win and 0-7 after passing for more than 280 yards.

Arkansas is 8-1 ATS against Big 12 teams, 15-6 against teams with winning road records, 12-5 after a cover, 3-7 in non-conference games, 2-5 in September, 2-6 on fieldturf, 1-4 after scoring 40 points or more, against teams with winning records, overall and after allowing less than 275 passing yards, 1-6 after allowing less than 20 points, 0-6 after a straight up win, 0-5 after rushing for 200 yards for more, and 0-4 after a straight up win by 20 points or more.

Both teams were impressive against lesser competition last week, but we really don’t know how good they really are. Arkansas opened as a 2.5 point favorite but the line has switch to TCU -2.5. I like the razorbacks to win at home.

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