College Basketball Betting Picks: Oregon Ducks at Oregon St Beavers
Oregon Ducks at Oregon St Beavers
Sunday, January 6, 2013, 10:00 pm Eastern, TV: FSN
Gill Coliseum – Corvallis, Oregon
Opening Line: Oregon -1
Current Line: Oregon -2
Opening Total: 146 1/2
Current Total: 148
Opening Money Line: Oregon -125 / Oregon St +105
Current Money Line: Oregon -135 / Oregon St +115
The 11-2 Oregon Ducks open Pac 12 play at arch rival Oregon St Sunday. The 10-3 Beavers are also playing their first Pac 12 game of the season. This is the 338th meeting between the rivals, more than any other match-up in NCAA history. Oregon St leads the series 184-153, including 99-61 in Corvallis. The two teams split the season series last year, with each winning on the road.
Oregon is coached by Dana Altman. The Ducks have losses Cincinnati in a tournament in Las Vegas an at UTEP in triple overtime. Oregon has key wins over Vanderbilt, at UNLV, Nebraska, and Nevada. The Ducks improved to 10-0 at home with 56-43 win over Nevada on New Year’s Eve in their last game. This is only the third road game of the season for the Ducks. Oregon is 6-5 ATS and the total is 2-3 this season.
Oregon St is coached by Craig Robinson. The Beavers have losses to Alabama in New York City, to Kansas in Kansas City, and at home to Towson in overtime last week. Oregon St has key wins over New Mexico St, Purdue in New York, and San Diego in Las Vegas. The Beavers crushed Texas-Pan American 84-59 on Monday. Oregon St is 4-5 ATS and all four games with a posted total have gone under.
Oregon is outscoring teams 77-60 this season. Oregon is #39 in scoring nationally. The Ducks are shooting 46.5% from the field and 32.3% from 3 point range. Oregon makes 73.2% of their free throws. The Ducks are #23 in rebounding with 41.1 per game. Oregon is 25th in rebounds allowed, with 26.8 per game. Duck opponents are shooting 38.1% from the field and 29.7% from 3 point range. Oregon is in the top 50 in both categories. Oregon averages 15 assists, 10 steals, 4 blocks and 16 turnovers.
Oregon guard Damyean Dotson averages 11.1 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 1.2 assists. Center Tony Woods averages 11 points, 3.7 rebounds, and 1.5 blocks per game. Forward Carlos Emory averages 10.6 points and 4.5 rebounds. Guard Dominic Artis averages 10.1 points, 2.5 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 2.2 steals per game. Forward E.J. Singler averages 9.8 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 2.8 assists a game. Forward Arsalan Kazemi averages 8.5 points, 10 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 2.8 steals per game. Waverly Austin, Ben Carter and and Johnathan Loyd make up the rest of the rotation.
Oregon St is outscoring teams 78-68 this season. The Beavers are #36 in scoring nationally. Oregon St is shooting 47.3% from the field and 40.5% from 3 point range. The Beavers are #35 in field goal percentage and #13 in 3 point shooting. Oregon St makes 65.8% of their free throws. The Beavers are #29 in rebounding with 40.5 per game, and OSU allows 31.5 to opponents. Oregon St opponents are shooting 40.7% from the field and 31.1% from 3 point range. The Beavers are averaging 16 assists, 8 steals, 5 blocks, and 14 steals per game.
Guard Roberto Nelson averages 15.8 points, 3.1 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. Forward Devon Collier averages 14.8 points, 6 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.1 steals, and 1.1 blocks per game. Ahmad Starks averages 12.3 points, 2.6 rebounds, 2 assists, and 1 steal a game. Joe Burton averages 11.5 points, 6.2 rebounds, 3.1 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Center Angus Brandt is out for the season with a knee injury. He averaged 11.3 points, 8.5 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.3 blocks, and 1 steal a game. Eric Moreland averages 10.9 points, 11.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 2.7 blocks per game. Olaf Schaftenaar, Jarmal Reid, and Challe Barton make up the rest of the rotation. Forward Daniel Gomis is also out for the season with a leg injury. He has not played in a game this season.
Oregon is 7-0 ATS in road games against teams with a home winning percentage of more than .600, 9-1 in road games, 7-1 in road games against teams with winning home records, 5-1 against teams with a winning percentage of more than .600, 13-3 after a cover, 8-2 after allowing less than 50 points, 14-4 after a straight up win, 19-7 against teams with winning records, and overall, 25-10 against Pac 12 teams, and 15-7-1 in Sunday games. The Ducks are 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 against the Beavers, including 4-1 in Corvallis.
Oregon St is 7-3 ATS in Sunday games, 3-7 against teams with a winning percentage of .600 or more, 3-8 in Pac 12 games, 1-4 overall, 1-5 after a straight up win, and 0-4 in home games. The under is 5-1 overall in this series, and 4-0 in Corvallis.
This could be a high scoring game as both teams average almost 80 points a game. Oregon is a much better defensive team though. I think that will be the difference, as the Ducks win on the road.