Lebron James 31 pts
OVER. LeBron realizes how crucial this game is, and after putting up 30 in a blowout and 40 the game before, I’m going to go with that he absolutely explodes tonight. 35-40 points is a definite possibility.
LeBron James Rebs + Asts 16.5
OVER. He totaled 18 last game and 27 in game 4. He was under this figure in games 2 and 3, but again over in game 1. That’s 3 of 5, and as I said, I expect Bron to go nuts tonight.
Dwyane Wade 26 pts
OVER. He’s been over both of the last two games, and without Bosh, he and LeBron need to get it done, and they will.
Dwyane Wade Rebs + asts 9.5
UNDER. He’s barely been over that figure one game in this series (10) and under every other game. He’s going to have a big scoring game again, and he hasn’t been looking to pass as much. If he goes nuts rebounding, he could beat this, but we’ll take that chance.
Mario Chalmers Pts + Asts 13
Leaving this one. He’s been close the last two games, and I don’t see this line as offering much value.
Danny Granger 15.5 pts
UNDER. I think LeBron’s effort extends to defense, and I expect Granger to struggle.
Roy Hibbert 13 pts
UNDER. He’s been under the last two games, and the Heat big men (Joel Anthony, Ronny Turiaf, and Udonis Haslem) have been playing surprisingly well, negating Hibbert’s effectiveness.
Roy Hibbert 10.5 rebs
OVER. He grabbed 12 last game and 18 in game three. What he won’t do scoring wise, he will do on the boards.
David West Pts + Rebs 22
UNDER. He was over in game 3, but under both of the last two. I don’t like his chances of going over this one at all.
George Hill 11.5 pts
UNDER. He’s only scored 14 points in his last two games COMBINED, and he has only shot 8 or 9 times in all of the last 4 games, while hitting 44% or less in three of them.
