The Florida Gators go on the road to face No.1 Alabama. The 8 ½-point underdog Gators on the current college football lines have some trends that favor them when they face the Crimson Tide. The Gators are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a win by 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The Gators are also 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread since 1992. Florida is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off 1 or more straight overs over the last 3 seasons. Florida coach Urban Meyer is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points in all games he has coached since 1992.
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The total for the Stanford-Oregon game is a whopping 65.5 points. But that high total is warranted. Their last five meetings have gone over the total. In those games, they failed to top 60 points only once. Stanford is averaging 48 points a game, while giving up 13.7. This season, the over for Oregon is 3-0 and the Ducks are averaging 57.7 points a game. Both defenses have posted some good numbers, with the Ducks giving up 11 points and Stanford gives up 13.7 points. But this game is not have the feel of a defensive struggle, but which offense will exert its will. At home, Oregon is averaging 695 yards on 89 plays. Stanford is averaging 467 yards and 69 plays. Nearly all indicators are pointing to an over for this game.
After suffering their first defeat, the Green Bay Packers find the right time to face the winless Detroit Lions. And their job may have gotten even easier as injuries pile up for the Lions. The Lions will be without starting quarterback Matthew Stafford, but might also be without running back Jahvid Best. He suffered a toe injury and is questionable for Sunday. For the Packers, cornerback Charles Woodson was limited in practice. If Best cannot start, the bulk of the work will fall on Kevin Smith and Maurice Morris.
Some times, you need to look at the history between teams when looking at totals. The tempo and familiarity between teams can play a factor in the scoring. A prime example of this is the Baltimore-Pittsburgh matchup. The knee-jerk reaction is that this is an automatic under at 34 ½. But over the past two years, the over is 3-1-1 in head-to-head meetings. You wouldn’t think that. This season, the Ravens average 14.7 points, while giving up 13.7. The Ravens average 302 yards total offense, while giving up 244 yards on defense. The Steelers average 24 points and 289 yards total offense, while their defense has given up an average of 11 points a game and 279 total yards. Both teams have gone over only once in three games. With a number so low, just one or two turnovers or a special teams play and it is suddenly an over.
A big matchup for Week 3 of the NFL season is the upstart Atlanta Falcons against the New Orleans Saints. The Saints won both games last season. The Saints, a 3 ½-point home favorite, will be without running back Reggie Bush, while Falcons running back Michael Turner is expected to play. There are a few trends to follow between these teams.
Here is a breakdown of some of this week’s college football trends:
Miami at Pittsburgh (49): The total has come down from 51 , and it might be safe to think these Big East teams might play it close to the vest. But the Hurricanes have average 34.5 points a game and the Panthers have averaged 31. Miami has given up 20 points a game, while the Panthers have average 21. Pittsburgh is averaging 355 yards offense, while giving up 351.
New York Jets cornerback Derrelle Revis, who missed most of training camp with a contract dispute, will now miss time for a different reason. The high profile cornerback is listed as out this week on the NFL injury report against the Miami Dolphins due to a hamstring injury. He will not travel with the Jets to Miami to remain in New Jersey for treatments. “I want to be out there with them, but I can’t,” he said in a report. “I am going to take my time and get back to 100 percent.” Jets linebacker Jason Taylor (elbow) was limited in practice.
Here is a look at every total on the board for week 3 NFL betting. As always you can view the opening and current numbers on our NFL lines page of the website from multiple sportsbooks.
The Atlanta Falcons losing last week against the Steelers bode well for them this week. If their past history is any indication, thre are some trends that favor the Falcons this week. Atlanta is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons. It is also 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. For the Cardinals, coach Ken Whisenhunt is 18-9 for the over (+8.1 Units) as an underdog. He is also 23-13 for the over (+8.7 Units) in games played on turf.