Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: College Football Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

Arkansas Razorbacks at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, 11/17/12, 12:20 PM EST, TV:  SEC Network
Opening Point Spread:  Mississippi State -6
Current Betting Line:  Mississippi State -6.5
Opening Total:  55
Current Total:  55
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The home team has covered nine of the last 10 meetings in this SEC series

Arkansas is set to play its final road game of the 2012 campaign, as it comes off a 38-20 setback to the South Carolina Gamecocks as 13-point underdogs last week, while going OVER the total for the first time in three weeks.  The Razorbacks need to win their final two games of the season to become bowl eligible, while also looking to avoid their first losing SEC record since 2009.  Arkansas is 7-3 ATS in November the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when making your NCAA football picks this weekend.

The Razorbacks have been known to start fast this season, outscoring their opponents by a significant 89-35 margin in the first quarter.  Arkansas ranks fifth in the conference and 23rd nationally in allowing just 119.7 rushing yards per game, which has fallen to 78.6 over the last five contests.  Quarterback Tyler Wilson is still leading a potent offensive attack, averaging 311.4 passing yards per game, as he has one of the best downfield targets in college football.  Wide receiver Cobi Hamilton is second in the SEC with four 100-yard receiving games this year.

Mississippi State returns to Davis Wade Stadium for the final time in the 2012 season, as it looks to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 37-17 loss to the LSU Tigers as 14.5-point road underdogs.  “I think our kids played hard and put us in position to do things to win the game,” commented Bulldogs head coach Dan Mullen.  The Bulldogs are extremely balanced on the offensive end, running the ball 330 times and passing 322 times.  Mississippi State is 11-11 ATS versus SEC opponents since 2010, with the UNDER going 15-7 in that situation.

The Bulldogs have won 22 of their last 23 games when winning the turnover battle, as they enter this week tied for seventh in the nation with a plus-12 turnover margin.  Mississippi quarterback Tyler Russell broke the single-season school record with his 17th touchdown pass of the season last week, as he’s one of just 10 signal-callers with 15-plus passing touchdowns and less than five interceptions.

Sports bettors will likely back the Bulldogs due to the home team being 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, while the Razorbacks are 0-6 ATS versus winning teams.

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Posted by on Nov 13 2012. Filed under College Football, Headlines. Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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