ACC Football Betting Preview: (9) Florida State Seminoles at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Jimbo Fisher-florida-state-2015(9) Fla St-Ga Tech
Time: 6 PM
Spread: FAS -7
Total: 57

Odds c/o Bovada

Florida State clocks in at No. 9 in the polls, but the team is still a perfect 6-0 on the season and is again atop the ACC. It routed Louisville 41-21 last week and defeated Miami (FL) and Wake Forest the two weeks prior by a combined score of 53-40.

The Miami game was something of a close call for the Seminoles. It gave up 405 passing yards to Miami QB Brad Kaaya and was outscored 14-9 in the second half. Even so, FSU QB Everett Golson threw 25 of 33 for 291 yards and RB Dalvin Cook came through with a monster game. Cook had 222 yards on 22 carries and a pair of TDs for the Seminoles. He also had a 72-yard jaunt in the game. WR Kermit Whitfield caught nine passes for 95 yards in the game as well.

Cook has now rushed for 150 yards or more in four of six games this year for FSU, and he was good for 163 yards on 22 carries last week against Louisville. He had four receptions in the win over the Cardinals for 60 yards, as well, his best receiving game of the season thus far.

Godson has put together a very nice season for himself so far: He has 1,449 passing yards at a 67.2 percent clip and has not thrown a single INT on the season while having launched 11 TD passes. His passer rating is 156.5 and he has thrown for 60 percent or better in all but the 34-14 win over South Florida in Week 2.

Last week against Louisville he was 26 of 38 for 372 yards while throwing three TD passes and posting a passer rating of 176.7. He has not been as effective with the rush, and last week he carried five times for a loss of 28 yards.

Getting Golson to have some success on the ground may be the lynchpin in getting this team over the hump. That is to say, though the Seminoles have experienced success, the team craves a trip to the BCS playoffs and it has some work to do to gain that honor. Florida State should be able to take care of business this week against Georgia Tech and next week against Syracuse, but the big game will be when it faces No. 6 Clemson on Nov. 7.

Georgia Tech is 2-5 on the year and 0-4 in ACC play. It won its week 1 & 2 matchups against Alcorn State and Tulane, but it has since dropped five straight to Notre Dame, Duke, UNC, Clemson and Pitt last week. Last week was a heartbreaker as Blewitt hit a late field goal to help Pitt win 31-28.

The Yellow Jackets got a nice game from Marcus Marshall who rushed for 159 yards on 10 carries and dual-threat QB Justin Thomas was effective on the ground too with 95 yards on 14 carries, but Thomas struggled throwing the football, completing just 6 of 15 passes for 106 yards and posting a pitiful QB rating of 32.6, the result of throwing an INT and just one TD pass.

Thomas, a 5’11” 189 pound fiery QB is not much of a threat throwing the football. He is good for just 44.4 percent completion this year and has thrown four INTs while having been sacked nine times this season. He is not world’s better on the rush despite his success last week. He has not rushed for more than 60 yards in any other game despite carrying it 10 or more times in all games except the joke of a 69-6 win over Alcorn State in week 1.

Florida State
Under is 4-0 in Seminoles last 4 games following a ATS win.
Seminoles are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 6-1 in Seminoles last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Georgia Tech
Over is 5-0 in Yellow Jackets last 5 games in October.
Yellow Jackets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
Yellow Jackets are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Head to Head
Seminoles are 0-4-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Seminoles are 0-3-2 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Georgia Tech.
Underdog is 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

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